{
 "id": "401858481",
 "season": 2026,
 "week": 6,
 "date": "20261010",
 "away": "IU",
 "home": "NEB",
 "model": {
  "product": "b1g+a-projection",
  "posted": null,
  "proj_away": 28,
  "proj_home": 24,
  "pick": "IU",
  "ats_pick": "NEB +7.5",
  "total_pick": "OVER 47.5"
 },
 "external": {
  "espn_fpi_win_pct": 70,
  "line": "IU -7.5",
  "source": "ESPN FPI; DraftKings via ESPN"
 },
 "result": {
  "final": true,
  "away": 20,
  "home": 17
 },
 "grade": {
  "hit": true,
  "margin_err": 1,
  "checks": [
   {
    "label": "WINNER",
    "pick": "IU (70% FPI)",
    "result": "IU won",
    "hit": true
   },
   {
    "label": "SPREAD \u00b7 IU -7.5",
    "pick": "NEB +7.5",
    "result": "NEB covered",
    "hit": true
   },
   {
    "label": "TOTAL",
    "pick": "OVER 47.5",
    "result": "37 total pts",
    "hit": false
   }
  ]
 },
 "wp": {
  "product": "b1g+a-live-wp",
  "reconstructed": true,
  "method": "reconstructed: ESPN final play-by-play replayed through live_wp.compute (model_prod.joblib)",
  "series": [
   [
    "11:08",
    0.2415
   ],
   [
    "11:11",
    0.2637
   ],
   [
    "11:12",
    0.2667
   ],
   [
    "11:12",
    0.2891
   ],
   [
    "11:13",
    0.2998
   ],
   [
    "11:14",
    0.2949
   ],
   [
    "11:14",
    0.2965
   ],
   [
    "11:16",
    0.2985
   ],
   [
    "11:17",
    0.3061
   ],
   [
    "11:18",
    0.3344
   ],
   [
    "11:18",
    0.3367
   ],
   [
    "11:19",
    0.3158
   ],
   [
    "11:19",
    0.3016
   ],
   [
    "11:20",
    0.2979
   ],
   [
    "11:20",
    0.2966
   ],
   [
    "11:27",
    0.3029
   ],
   [
    "11:28",
    0.2522
   ],
   [
    "11:28",
    0.2496
   ],
   [
    "11:29",
    0.2689
   ],
   [
    "11:30",
    0.2695
   ],
   [
    "11:31",
    0.2695
   ],
   [
    "11:34",
    0.2649
   ],
   [
    "11:34",
    0.2638
   ],
   [
    "11:36",
    0.2586
   ],
   [
    "11:36",
    0.2508
   ],
   [
    "11:37",
    0.282
   ],
   [
    "11:38",
    0.2854
   ],
   [
    "11:38",
    0.3029
   ],
   [
    "11:39",
    0.2947
   ],
   [
    "11:40",
    0.2983
   ],
   [
    "11:44",
    0.2724
   ],
   [
    "11:45",
    0.3279
   ],
   [
    "11:45",
    0.3371
   ],
   [
    "11:46",
    0.3387
   ],
   [
    "11:47",
    0.4119
   ],
   [
    "11:48",
    0.4105
   ],
   [
    "11:50",
    0.3549
   ],
   [
    "11:51",
    0.3621
   ],
   [
    "11:52",
    0.3631
   ],
   [
    "11:56",
    0.3775
   ],
   [
    "11:56",
    0.4001
   ],
   [
    "11:57",
    0.3977
   ],
   [
    "11:59",
    0.4399
   ],
   [
    "11:59",
    0.4435
   ],
   [
    "12:00",
    0.4818
   ],
   [
    "12:01",
    0.5056
   ],
   [
    "12:04",
    0.5182
   ],
   [
    "12:05",
    0.483
   ],
   [
    "12:05",
    0.4782
   ],
   [
    "12:06",
    0.4585
   ],
   [
    "12:07",
    0.4752
   ],
   [
    "12:11",
    0.4832
   ],
   [
    "12:11",
    0.4899
   ],
   [
    "12:12",
    0.4543
   ],
   [
    "12:13",
    0.4442
   ],
   [
    "12:13",
    0.4642
   ],
   [
    "12:14",
    0.4552
   ],
   [
    "12:15",
    0.415
   ],
   [
    "12:16",
    0.4662
   ],
   [
    "12:17",
    0.4404
   ],
   [
    "12:17",
    0.4635
   ],
   [
    "12:18",
    0.4874
   ],
   [
    "12:19",
    0.4889
   ],
   [
    "12:19",
    0.489
   ],
   [
    "12:20",
    0.518
   ],
   [
    "12:21",
    0.5167
   ],
   [
    "12:21",
    0.5367
   ],
   [
    "12:25",
    0.5577
   ],
   [
    "12:26",
    0.5612
   ],
   [
    "12:27",
    0.5665
   ],
   [
    "12:27",
    0.6062
   ],
   [
    "12:28",
    0.5967
   ],
   [
    "12:29",
    0.5948
   ],
   [
    "12:30",
    0.5825
   ],
   [
    "12:30",
    0.565
   ],
   [
    "12:31",
    0.5053
   ],
   [
    "12:35",
    0.5007
   ],
   [
    "12:35",
    0.5163
   ],
   [
    "12:56",
    0.525
   ],
   [
    "12:57",
    0.4955
   ],
   [
    "12:59",
    0.498
   ],
   [
    "13:00",
    0.4766
   ],
   [
    "13:00",
    0.4606
   ],
   [
    "13:01",
    0.4435
   ],
   [
    "13:01",
    0.434
   ],
   [
    "13:04",
    0.4518
   ],
   [
    "13:05",
    0.4641
   ],
   [
    "13:06",
    0.4963
   ],
   [
    "13:06",
    0.4926
   ],
   [
    "13:06",
    0.4911
   ],
   [
    "13:11",
    0.5144
   ],
   [
    "13:11",
    0.5123
   ],
   [
    "13:12",
    0.5447
   ],
   [
    "13:13",
    0.5386
   ],
   [
    "13:13",
    0.5502
   ],
   [
    "13:15",
    0.5217
   ],
   [
    "13:15",
    0.5707
   ],
   [
    "13:16",
    0.5504
   ],
   [
    "13:16",
    0.5384
   ],
   [
    "13:18",
    0.5058
   ],
   [
    "13:21",
    0.5187
   ],
   [
    "13:22",
    0.5344
   ],
   [
    "13:22",
    0.5537
   ],
   [
    "13:23",
    0.5896
   ],
   [
    "13:26",
    0.5666
   ],
   [
    "13:27",
    0.555
   ],
   [
    "13:27",
    0.542
   ],
   [
    "13:28",
    0.5277
   ],
   [
    "13:29",
    0.5229
   ],
   [
    "13:30",
    0.5269
   ],
   [
    "13:34",
    0.5144
   ],
   [
    "13:34",
    0.4751
   ],
   [
    "13:35",
    0.5097
   ],
   [
    "13:35",
    0.5356
   ],
   [
    "13:36",
    0.5377
   ],
   [
    "13:40",
    0.5747
   ],
   [
    "13:41",
    0.5761
   ],
   [
    "13:42",
    0.569
   ],
   [
    "13:42",
    0.6274
   ],
   [
    "13:43",
    0.6227
   ],
   [
    "13:44",
    0.6151
   ],
   [
    "13:44",
    0.828
   ],
   [
    "13:45",
    0.8272
   ],
   [
    "13:49",
    0.5945
   ],
   [
    "13:50",
    0.6589
   ],
   [
    "13:52",
    0.5937
   ],
   [
    "13:56",
    0.5511
   ],
   [
    "13:57",
    0.6167
   ],
   [
    "13:58",
    0.6151
   ],
   [
    "13:59",
    0.5979
   ],
   [
    "13:59",
    0.5837
   ],
   [
    "14:00",
    0.5819
   ],
   [
    "14:04",
    0.5617
   ],
   [
    "14:04",
    0.5438
   ],
   [
    "14:05",
    0.5305
   ],
   [
    "14:06",
    0.5562
   ],
   [
    "14:06",
    0.6
   ],
   [
    "14:07",
    0.2568
   ],
   [
    "14:08",
    0.2557
   ],
   [
    "14:09",
    0.2324
   ],
   [
    "14:10",
    0.2928
   ],
   [
    "14:11",
    0.2874
   ],
   [
    "14:11",
    0.2597
   ],
   [
    "14:12",
    0.2221
   ],
   [
    "14:12",
    0.1487
   ],
   [
    "14:13",
    0.1538
   ],
   [
    "14:14",
    0.1444
   ],
   [
    "14:15",
    0.1835
   ],
   [
    "14:15",
    0.1917
   ],
   [
    "14:16",
    0.1801
   ],
   [
    "14:17",
    0.1878
   ],
   [
    "14:18",
    0.2447
   ],
   [
    "14:19",
    0.2188
   ],
   [
    "14:20",
    0.2572
   ],
   [
    "14:20",
    0.2222
   ],
   [
    "14:21",
    0.2808
   ],
   [
    "14:24",
    0.2752
   ],
   [
    "14:24",
    0.2201
   ],
   [
    "14:25",
    0.1721
   ],
   [
    "14:26",
    0.001
   ],
   [
    "14:27",
    0.0857
   ],
   [
    "14:27",
    0.001
   ],
   [
    "14:28",
    0.001
   ],
   [
    "14:29",
    0.0968
   ],
   [
    "14:29",
    0.001
   ],
   [
    "14:30",
    0.1139
   ],
   [
    "14:31",
    0.001
   ],
   [
    "14:32",
    0.0974
   ],
   [
    "14:32",
    0.1158
   ],
   [
    "14:33",
    0.1148
   ],
   [
    "14:41",
    0.1653
   ],
   [
    "15:09",
    0.124
   ]
  ],
  "latest": 0.124,
  "as_of": "2026-10-10T15:09:29-05:00"
 },
 "reports": [
  "assets/reports/live__iu-neb-q3.webp",
  "assets/reports/repost__wats-iu-neb.webp",
  "assets/reports/projections__iu-neb-result.webp",
  "assets/reports/live__iu-neb-half.webp",
  "assets/reports/live__iu-neb-q1.webp"
 ]
}