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Game report · 2026 Week 7 · FBS · Sat, Oct 17, 6:00 PM CT

ARST @ USM

Week 7 reports › FBS

Arkansas St23
FINAL
13Southern Miss
Final23–13ARST at USM
B1G+A pregame48%USM win chance at kickoff
4th-down decisions1816 matched the B1G+A call
Plays tracked149from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final
Q2Q3Q4ARST 4th down Q1 9:15: kicked the field goalUSM 4th down Q1 7:53: puntedARST 4th down Q1 2:10: kicked the field goalUSM 4th down Q2 9:56: puntedARST 4th down Q2 8:29: puntedARST 4th down Q2 3:20: kicked the field goalUSM 4th down Q2 1:09: went for itUSM 4th down Q3 12:33: kicked the field goalARST 4th down Q3 10:56: puntedUSM 4th down Q3 8:57: puntedARST 4th down Q3 5:53: puntedARST 4th down Q3 2:31: puntedUSM 4th down Q3 0:48: went for itARST 4th down Q4 8:00: puntedUSM 4th down Q4 7:21: went for itARST 4th down Q4 6:26: went for itARST 4th down Q4 3:30: went for itARST 4th down Q4 1:15: went for itUSM 0.0%ARST 100.0%
▲ USM win chance▼ ARST

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A in-game model (B1G+A WP v1 (Oct 2026)). Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →

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