Game report · 2026 Week 9 · B1G · Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CT
ILL @ MD
Illinois20
MarylandB1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME
FinalRed racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.
4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS
14 4th downs · 14 graded · 13 matched · 1 goEvery 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.
| Team | Qtr | Clock | Score (off-def) | Field position | Yds to goal | To go | Call | Result | Go WP | FG WP | Punt WP | Verdict | Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | Q1 | 10:31 | 0-0 | ILL 6 | 94 | 5 | Punt | Punt 43 yds | 55.2% (40% conv) | — | 56.4% | Right call | 0.0 |
| ILL | Q1 | 5:02 | 0-7 | MD 47 | 47 | 12 | Punt | Punt 47 yds, touchback | 33.7% (26% conv) | 30.2% | 34.9% | Right call | 0.0 |
| MD | Q1 | 2:21 | 7-0 | ILL 48 | 48 | 1 | Go | Converted (2 yds) | 68.6% (69% conv) | 56.9% | 63.1% | Right call | 0.0 |
| ILL | Q2 | 10:37 | 0-7 | MD 34 | 34 | 8 | FG | FG missed | 33.8% (32% conv) | 34.2% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| MD | Q2 | 9:05 | 7-0 | MD 37 | 63 | 21 | Punt | Punt 48 yds, out of bounds | 58.9% (18% conv) | — | 63.8% | Right call | 0.0 |
| ILL | Q2 | 6:43 | 0-7 | ILL 15 | 85 | 10 | Punt | Punt 40 yds, fair catch | 22.2% (28% conv) | — | 23.9% | Right call | 0.0 |
| MD | Q2 | 5:31 | 7-0 | MD 41 | 59 | 14 | Punt | Punt 39 yds, out of bounds | 62.5% (23% conv) | — | 66.5% | Right call | 0.0 |
| ILL | Q3 | 7:49 | 7-14 | MD 26 | 26 | 13 | FG | FG good | 27.2% (24% conv) | 29.7% | — | Right call | 0.0 |
| MD | Q3 | 4:04 | 14-10 | ILL 43 | 43 | 8 | Punt | Punt 38 yds, out of bounds | 62.4% (32% conv) | 60.2% | 65.4% | Right call | 0.0 |
| ILL | Q3 | 3:08 | 10-14 | ILL 8 | 92 | 7 | Punt | Punt 37 yds, fair catch | 23.0% (34% conv) | — | 25.1% | Right call | 0.0 |
| MD | Q3 | 1:14 | 14-10 | ILL 44 | 44 | 9 | Punt | Punt 31 yds, fair catch | 63.1% (30% conv) | 60.7% | 67.0% | Right call | 0.0 |
| MD | Q4 | 10:16 | 14-17 | ILL 28 | 28 | 2 | FG | FG good | 41.7% (57% conv) | 38.2% | — | Higher-WP option: Go | −3.4 |
| ILL | Q4 | 8:42 | 17-17 | ILL 32 | 68 | 3 | Punt | Punt 50 yds, fair catch | 45.8% (50% conv) | — | 47.3% | Right call | 0.0 |
| MD | Q4 | 5:45 | 17-17 | MD 37 | 63 | 7 | Punt | Punt 47 yds, returned | 40.4% (34% conv) | — | 44.7% | Right call | 0.0 |
2 4th-down snaps wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.
Two-point tries
No two-point tries in this game.
Clock management · final 2:00 of each half
End of 1st half
Score at 2:00 ILL 0–7 MD; at the end ILL 7–7 MD. Snaps: ILL 4, MD 1.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 1:50 | 4 | Touchdown |
| MD | 0:25 | 1 | End of Half |
End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)
Score at 2:00 ILL 17–17 MD; at the end ILL 20–17 MD. Snaps: ILL 7, MD 0.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILL | 1:53 | 7 | Field Goal |
Replay reviews & challenges
No replay reviews or coach's challenges are recorded in the public play-by-play feeds for this game.
From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.
Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →