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Game report · 2026 Week 9 · B1G · Sat, Oct 31, 2:30 PM CT

MINN @ IU

Week 9 reports › B1G

Minnesota16
FINAL
234 Indiana
Final16–23MINN at IU
B1G+A pregame93%IU win chance at kickoff
4th-down decisions2019 graded · 18 matched the higher-WP option
Plays tracked147from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final
Q2Q3Q4OTIU 4th down Q1 11:01: puntedMINN 4th down Q1 8:54: kicked the field goalIU 4th down Q1 7:24: puntedMINN 4th down Q1 1:35: puntedMINN 4th down Q2 11:49: puntedIU 4th down Q2 8:20: puntedMINN 4th down Q2 4:42: puntedIU 4th down Q2 4:24: puntedIU 4th down Q2 1:40: kicked the field goalMINN 4th down Q2 1:18: puntedIU 4th down Q3 12:03: puntedMINN 4th down Q3 9:13: puntedIU 4th down Q3 2:13: kicked the field goalMINN 4th down Q4 14:49: went for itMINN 4th down Q4 11:49: kicked the field goalIU 4th down Q4 9:11: went for itMINN 4th down Q4 6:53: puntedIU 4th down Q4 3:05: kicked the field goalMINN 4th down Q4 0:19: kicked the field goalMINN 4th down QOT 0:00: went for itIU 100.0%MINN 0.0%
▲ IU win chance▼ MINN

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

20 4th downs · 19 graded · 18 matched · 2 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

TeamQtrClockScore (off-def)Field positionYds to goalTo goCallResultGo WPFG WPPunt WPVerdictCall vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
IUQ111:010-0IU 128814PuntPunt 15 yds, out of bounds88.6% (23% conv)—90.6%Right call0.0
MINNQ18:540-0IU 19192FGFG good10.9% (57% conv)9.2%—Higher-WP option: Go−1.7
IUQ17:240-3IU 31694PuntPunt 47 yds, out of bounds84.4% (44% conv)—84.7%Toss-up (within 1 pt)0.0
MINNQ11:353-7MINN 297118PuntPunt 44 yds4.0% (20% conv)—4.3%Toss-up (within 1 pt)0.0
MINNQ211:493-7MINN 47539PuntPunt 50 yds, fair catch6.1% (30% conv)—6.0%Toss-up (within 1 pt)−0.1
IUQ28:207-3IU 17838PuntPunt 45 yds, out of bounds87.9% (32% conv)—89.7%Right call0.0
MINNQ24:423-7MINN 415910PuntPunt 47 yds, fair catch7.6% (28% conv)—7.7%Toss-up (within 1 pt)0.0
IUQ24:247-3IU 128810PuntPunt 27 yds, out of bounds84.9% (28% conv)—87.5%Right call0.0
IUQ21:407-10MINN 131310FGFG missed75.9% (28% conv)77.7%—Right call0.0
MINNQ21:1810-7MINN 21799PuntPunt 46 yds, fair catch21.3% (30% conv)—22.7%Right call0.0
IUQ312:037-10IU 43577PuntPunt 48 yds61.9% (34% conv)—64.3%Right call0.0
MINNQ39:1310-7MINN 425810PuntPunt 44 yds, returned31.7% (28% conv)—33.9%Right call0.0
IUQ32:137-10MINN 28288FGFG good56.9% (32% conv)59.7%—Right call0.0
MINNQ414:4910-10IU 36361GoConverted (2 yds)43.7% (69% conv)36.0%36.9%Right call0.0
MINNQ411:4910-10IU 33339FGFG good39.3% (30% conv)41.6%—Right call0.0
IUQ49:1110-13MINN 997FG (bad snap; feed logs a team rush)Turnover on downs (0 yds)55.6% (34% conv)55.4%—Not graded—
MINNQ46:5313-10MINN 20808PuntPunt 49 yds, fair catch44.8% (32% conv)—53.1%Right call0.0
IUQ43:0510-13MINN 16161FGFG good59.3% (69% conv)61.5%—Right call0.0
MINNQ40:1913-13IU 42428FGFG good56.3% (32% conv)59.5%47.0%Right call0.0
MINNOT0:0016-23IU 444GoTurnover on downs17.3% (35% conv)0.0%—Right call0.0

2 4th-down snaps wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.

Two-point tries

No two-point tries in this game.

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 MINN 10–7 IU; at the end MINN 10–7 IU. Snaps: MINN 6, IU 8.

OffenseFirst snap in windowSnaps in windowDrive result
IU1:544Missed FG
MINN1:374Punt
IU1:124Interception
MINN0:062End of Half

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 MINN 13–13 IU; at the end MINN 16–16 IU. Snaps: MINN 4, IU 3.

OffenseFirst snap in windowSnaps in windowDrive result
MINN1:524Field Goal
IU0:133Field Goal

Replay reviews & challenges

QtrClockReview
Q49:20Review: overturned
Q45:34Review: upheld
Q43:04Review: overturned

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →

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