Game report · 2026 Week 9 · B1G · Sat, Oct 31, 3:15 PM CT
NEV @ UCLA
Nevada0
7 UCLAB1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME
FinalRed racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.
4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS
16 4th downs · 16 graded · 15 matched · 2 goEvery 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.
| Team | Qtr | Clock | Score (off-def) | Field position | Yds to goal | To go | Call | Result | Go WP | FG WP | Punt WP | Verdict | Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | Q1 | 12:15 | 0-0 | NEV 8 | 8 | 3 | FG | FG good | 93.1% (50% conv) | 92.5% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.6 |
| UCLA | Q1 | 8:19 | 3-0 | UCLA 22 | 78 | 5 | Punt | Punt 50 yds, returned | 90.2% (40% conv) | — | 90.9% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| NEV | Q1 | 3:05 | 0-10 | NEV 38 | 62 | 8 | Punt | Punt 51 yds, returned | 2.4% (32% conv) | — | 2.3% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.1 |
| UCLA | Q1 | 1:31 | 10-0 | UCLA 8 | 92 | 10 | Punt | Punt 44 yds, fair catch | 94.8% (28% conv) | — | 95.7% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| NEV | Q2 | 12:41 | 0-10 | UCLA 34 | 34 | 7 | Punt | Punt 32 yds | 3.8% (34% conv) | 3.6% | — | Toss-up | — |
| UCLA | Q2 | 10:17 | 10-0 | UCLA 38 | 62 | 7 | Punt | Punt 48 yds | 95.3% (34% conv) | — | 95.8% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| NEV | Q2 | 6:18 | 0-10 | NEV 36 | 64 | 13 | Punt | Punt 46 yds, returned | 3.2% (24% conv) | — | 3.3% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| NEV | Q2 | 0:18 | 0-17 | NEV 31 | 69 | 4 | Punt | Punt 53 yds, returned | 1.1% (44% conv) | — | 1.0% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.1 |
| NEV | Q3 | 3:24 | 0-24 | UCLA 30 | 30 | 12 | FG | FG missed | 0.6% (26% conv) | 0.5% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.1 |
| UCLA | Q3 | 1:05 | 24-0 | NEV 48 | 48 | 4 | Punt | Punt 35 yds, fair catch | 99.5% (44% conv) | 99.5% | 99.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| NEV | Q4 | 14:08 | 0-24 | NEV 10 | 90 | 13 | Punt | Punt 37 yds, fair catch | 0.5% (24% conv) | — | 0.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| UCLA | Q4 | 9:56 | 24-0 | NEV 19 | 19 | 3 | FG | FG good | 99.5% (50% conv) | 99.5% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| NEV | Q4 | 8:05 | 0-27 | NEV 31 | 69 | 4 | Punt | Punt 35 yds, fair catch | 0.5% (44% conv) | — | 0.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| UCLA | Q4 | 6:48 | 27-0 | UCLA 33 | 67 | 11 | Punt | Punt 51 yds, returned | 99.5% (27% conv) | — | 99.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| NEV | Q4 | 4:29 | 0-27 | NEV 35 | 65 | 1 | Go | Converted (1 yds) | 0.5% (69% conv) | — | 0.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| NEV | Q4 | 0:45 | 0-27 | 50 | 50 | 8 | Go | Intercepted | 0.5% (32% conv) | — | 0.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
2 4th-down snaps wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.
Two-point tries
No two-point tries in this game.
Clock management · final 2:00 of each half
End of 1st half
Score at 2:00 NEV 0–10 UCLA; at the end NEV 0–17 UCLA. Snaps: NEV 4, UCLA 6.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 1:52 | 2 | Touchdown |
| NEV | 1:13 | 4 | Punt |
| UCLA | 0:14 | 4 | Missed FG |
End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)
Score at 2:00 NEV 0–27 UCLA; at the end NEV 0–27 UCLA. Snaps: NEV 3, UCLA 1.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | 1:54 | 3 | Interception |
| UCLA | 0:43 | 1 | End of Half |
Replay reviews & challenges
| Qtr | Clock | Review |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 | 0:06 | Review: upheld |
From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.
Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →
