Game report · 2026 Week 9 · B1G · Sat, Oct 31, 2:30 PM CT

NU @ ORE

Week 9 reports › B1G

20 Northwestern26

FINAL

Oregon

Final26–34NU at ORE

B1G+A pregame65%ORE win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions1616 graded · 14 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked147from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ ORE win chance▼ NU

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

16 4th downs · 16 graded · 14 matched · 2 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
NU	Q1	9:35	0-0	ORE 19	19	4	FG	FG good	41.7% (44% conv)	40.7%	—	Toss-up	−0.9
ORE	Q1	8:06	0-3	ORE 31	69	3	Punt	Punt 45 yds, returned	48.7% (50% conv)	—	46.6%	Higher-WP option: Go	−2.1
ORE	Q1	2:01	0-10	NU 9	9	9	FG	FG good	28.0% (22% conv)	29.2%	—	Right call	0.0
NU	Q2	10:50	10-3	ORE 19	19	5	FG	FG good	72.4% (40% conv)	73.4%	—	Right call	0.0
ORE	Q2	7:15	3-13	NU 26	26	21	FG	FG good	22.2% (18% conv)	24.1%	—	Right call	0.0
NU	Q2	0:11	20-13	NU 34	66	1	Punt	Punt 36 yds, fair catch	72.1% (69% conv)	—	68.2%	Higher-WP option: Go	−3.9
NU	Q3	12:22	20-13	ORE 31	31	4	FG	FG good	75.8% (44% conv)	75.7%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.1
NU	Q3	7:15	23-20	NU 44	56	7	Punt	Punt 35 yds, fair catch	53.7% (34% conv)	—	56.3%	Right call	0.0
ORE	Q3	5:17	20-23	ORE 48	52	5	Punt	Punt 46 yds	39.4% (40% conv)	—	39.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
NU	Q3	2:43	23-20	NU 40	60	6	Punt	Punt 41 yds, returned	54.8% (37% conv)	—	57.6%	Right call	0.0
ORE	Q4	14:19	20-23	NU 2	2	2	Go	Converted (TD)	55.3% (47% conv)	49.5%	—	Right call	0.0
NU	Q4	10:31	23-27	ORE 31	31	17	FG	FG good	27.9% (21% conv)	31.7%	—	Right call	0.0
NU	Q4	6:32	26-34	ORE 42	42	4	Go	Converted (18 yds)	12.9% (44% conv)	10.5%	12.2%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
NU	Q4	5:14	26-34	ORE 24	24	10	FG	FG missed	12.8% (28% conv)	13.8%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
ORE	Q4	2:56	34-26	ORE 31	69	3	Punt	Punt 40 yds, out of bounds	88.8% (50% conv)	—	90.6%	Right call	0.0
NU	Q4	1:43	26-34	NU 20	80	19	Punt	Punt 48 yds, returned	1.9% (20% conv)	—	1.9%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0

Two-point tries

No two-point tries in this game.

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 NU 13–6 ORE; at the end NU 20–13 ORE. Snaps: NU 5, ORE 8.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
NU	1:53	1	Touchdown
ORE	1:34	7	Touchdown
NU	0:44	4	Punt
ORE	0:09	1	End of Half

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 NU 26–34 ORE; at the end NU 26–34 ORE. Snaps: NU 2, ORE 6.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
NU	1:58	2	Punt
ORE	1:35	6	End of Game

Replay reviews & challenges

No replay reviews or coach's challenges are recorded in the public play-by-play feeds for this game.

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →