Game report · 2026 Week 9 · B1G · Sat, Oct 31, 6:30 PM CT

OSU @ USC

Week 9 reports › B1G

2 Ohio State18

FINAL

USC

Final18–30OSU at USC

B1G+A pregame25%USC win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions1515 graded · 13 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked146from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ USC win chance▼ OSU

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

15 4th downs · 15 graded · 13 matched · 1 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
OSU	Q1	8:27	0-7	USC 21	21	4	FG	FG good	53.2% (44% conv)	52.8%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.4
USC	Q1	7:37	7-3	USC 21	79	14	Punt	Punt 46 yds, fair catch	31.1% (23% conv)	—	33.7%	Right call	0.0
OSU	Q1	4:08	3-7	USC 42	42	9	Punt	Punt 32 yds, out of bounds	55.5% (30% conv)	54.0%	56.8%	Right call	0.0
OSU	Q2	13:22	3-14	USC 16	16	9	FG	FG good	31.4% (30% conv)	31.8%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
USC	Q2	10:21	14-6	OSU 37	37	6	FG	FG good	64.8% (37% conv)	64.3%	65.2%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.9
OSU	Q2	8:08	6-17	OSU 20	80	16	Punt	Punt 45 yds, fair catch	16.5% (22% conv)	—	18.2%	Right call	0.0
OSU	Q2	1:46	6-17	USC 5	5	5	FG	FG good	27.5% (31% conv)	26.2%	—	Higher-WP option: Go	−1.3
OSU	Q3	12:59	9-20	OSU 32	68	3	Punt	Punt 39 yds, fair catch	16.8% (50% conv)	—	15.2%	Higher-WP option: Go	−1.7
USC	Q3	10:42	20-9	USC 34	66	5	Punt	Punt 56 yds, returned	78.4% (40% conv)	—	80.2%	Right call	0.0
OSU	Q4	14:56	9-27	USC 29	29	14	FG	FG good	3.5% (23% conv)	3.7%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
USC	Q4	13:24	27-12	USC 44	56	11	Punt	Punt 44 yds, out of bounds	93.3% (27% conv)	—	95.1%	Right call	0.0
OSU	Q4	11:48	12-27	OSU 15	85	10	Punt	Punt 45 yds, fair catch	2.5% (28% conv)	—	2.8%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
USC	Q4	7:57	27-12	OSU 38	38	12	Punt	Punt 38 yds, touchback	96.6% (26% conv)	97.0%	97.6%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
USC	Q4	1:46	27-18	OSU 15	15	4	FG	FG good	99.5% (44% conv)	99.5%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
OSU	Q4	0:36	18-30	USC 12	12	10	Go	Turnover on downs	0.5% (28% conv)	0.5%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0

2 4th-down snaps wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.

Two-point tries

Team	Qtr	Clock	Play	Score after (team-opp)
OSU	Q4	2:12	Pass, No good	18-27

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 OSU 6–17 USC; at the end OSU 9–20 USC. Snaps: OSU 4, USC 10.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
OSU	1:59	4	Field Goal
USC	1:30	10	Field Goal

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 OSU 18–27 USC; at the end OSU 18–30 USC. Snaps: OSU 9, USC 4.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
USC	1:54	3	Field Goal
OSU	1:34	9	Downs
USC	0:36	1	End of Game

Replay reviews & challenges

Qtr	Clock	Review
Q1	8:35	Review: overturned
Q1	7:52	Review: overturned
Q2	2:27	Review: overturned
Q4	1:05	Review: overturned

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →