Game report · 2026 Week 9 · B1G · Sat, Oct 31, 3:15 PM CT

PUR @ PSU

Week 9 reports › B1G

Purdue17

FINAL

Penn State

Final17–31PUR at PSU

B1G+A pregame78%PSU win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions1616 graded · 12 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked131from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ PSU win chance▼ PUR

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

16 4th downs · 16 graded · 12 matched · 5 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
PUR	Q1	11:19	0-0	PSU 45	45	4	Punt	Punt 41 yds, fair catch	23.4% (44% conv)	18.8%	21.2%	Higher-WP option: Go	−2.2
PSU	Q1	11:19	0-0	PUR 20	20	7	Go	Converted (13 yds)	79.7% (34% conv)	81.3%	—	Higher-WP option: FG	−1.6
PUR	Q2	14:38	7-14	PUR 38	62	10	Punt	Punt 43 yds, fair catch	8.5% (28% conv)	—	8.6%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
PSU	Q2	14:38	14-7	PSU 28	72	1	Go	Converted (3 yds)	89.2% (69% conv)	—	87.5%	Right call	0.0
PSU	Q2	8:52	14-7	PUR 49	49	10	Punt	Punt blocked	86.9% (28% conv)	—	88.4%	Right call	0.0
PSU	Q2	1:48	21-14	PUR 1	1	1	Go	Converted (TD)	92.9% (60% conv)	91.2%	—	Right call	0.0
PUR	Q2	0:50	14-21	PSU 40	40	6	Punt	Punt 34 yds, fair catch	13.1% (37% conv)	11.8%	12.3%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.9
PSU	Q3	13:21	21-14	PSU 27	73	1	Punt	Punt 32 yds, fair catch	86.1% (69% conv)	—	84.3%	Higher-WP option: Go	−1.8
PUR	Q3	11:01	14-21	PUR 48	52	3	Punt	Punt 24 yds, out of bounds	14.0% (50% conv)	—	12.2%	Higher-WP option: Go	−1.8
PSU	Q3	6:53	24-14	PUR 37	37	13	FG	FG missed	91.2% (24% conv)	92.0%	92.8%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.8
PSU	Q3	2:11	21-14	PUR 26	26	8	FG	FG good	87.3% (32% conv)	89.0%	—	Right call	0.0
PUR	Q3	1:17	14-24	PUR 31	69	4	Punt	Punt 49 yds, returned	6.8% (44% conv)	—	6.4%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.4
PUR	Q4	8:30	14-31	PUR 41	59	9	Go	Converted (24 yds)	1.1% (30% conv)	—	1.2%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
PUR	Q4	6:08	14-31	PSU 31	31	6	FG	FG good	1.7% (37% conv)	1.6%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.1
PSU	Q4	2:49	31-17	PUR 24	24	3	FG	FG missed	99.5% (50% conv)	99.5%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
PUR	Q4	1:50	17-31	PUR 4	96	30	Go	Intercepted	0.5% (15% conv)	—	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0

1 4th-down snap wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.

Two-point tries

No two-point tries in this game.

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 PUR 14–14 PSU; at the end PUR 14–21 PSU. Snaps: PUR 8, PSU 4.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
PSU	2:00	3	Touchdown
PUR	1:48	8	Punt
PSU	0:50	1	End of Half

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 PUR 17–31 PSU; at the end PUR 17–31 PSU. Snaps: PUR 1, PSU 3.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
PUR	1:50	1	Interception
PSU	2:00	3	End of Game

Replay reviews & challenges

Qtr	Clock	Review
Q1	0:50	Review: upheld
Q2	1:29	Review: overturned

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →