Game report · 2026 Week 9 · B1G · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM CT
WASH @ NEB
Washington17
NebraskaB1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME
FinalRed racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.
4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS
15 4th downs · 15 graded · 13 matched · 0 goEvery 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.
| Team | Qtr | Clock | Score (off-def) | Field position | Yds to goal | To go | Call | Result | Go WP | FG WP | Punt WP | Verdict | Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WASH | Q1 | 9:07 | 0-0 | WASH 28 | 72 | 10 | Punt | Punt 60 yds, returned | 18.6% (28% conv) | — | 19.1% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| WASH | Q1 | 5:58 | 0-0 | WASH 48 | 52 | 6 | Punt | Punt 47 yds, out of bounds | 23.7% (37% conv) | — | 22.8% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.9 |
| WASH | Q2 | 14:13 | 0-7 | WASH 40 | 60 | 6 | Punt | Punt 52 yds, returned | 9.4% (37% conv) | — | 8.9% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.5 |
| NEB | Q2 | 11:58 | 7-0 | NEB 37 | 63 | 5 | Punt | Punt 60 yds | 86.7% (40% conv) | — | 87.6% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| WASH | Q2 | 5:50 | 0-7 | NEB 47 | 47 | 15 | Punt | Punt 42 yds | 11.0% (23% conv) | 9.3% | 11.4% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| NEB | Q2 | 1:53 | 7-0 | NEB 45 | 55 | 6 | Punt | Punt 43 yds, fair catch | 85.0% (37% conv) | — | 86.3% | Right call | 0.0 |
| WASH | Q2 | 0:41 | 0-7 | NEB 32 | 32 | 8 | FG | FG good | 14.4% (32% conv) | 14.5% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| WASH | Q3 | 12:14 | 3-7 | WASH 29 | 71 | 20 | Punt | Punt 63 yds, returned | 14.8% (19% conv) | — | 16.8% | Right call | 0.0 |
| NEB | Q3 | 7:11 | 7-3 | NEB 45 | 55 | 2 | Punt | Punt 40 yds, fair catch | 77.8% (57% conv) | — | 76.8% | Higher-WP option: Go | −1.0 |
| WASH | Q3 | 3:48 | 3-7 | WASH 39 | 61 | 1 | Punt | Punt 44 yds, fair catch | 25.0% (69% conv) | — | 20.3% | Higher-WP option: Go | −4.7 |
| NEB | Q3 | 3:13 | 7-3 | NEB 17 | 83 | 10 | Punt | Punt 47 yds | 64.6% (28% conv) | — | 70.4% | Right call | 0.0 |
| WASH | Q3 | 0:51 | 3-7 | WASH 46 | 54 | 10 | Punt | Punt 41 yds, returned | 20.7% (28% conv) | — | 22.2% | Right call | 0.0 |
| NEB | Q4 | 10:01 | 7-3 | WASH 18 | 18 | 18 | FG | FG missed | 78.4% (14% conv) | 83.6% | — | Right call | 0.0 |
| WASH | Q4 | 6:03 | 3-7 | NEB 42 | 42 | 5 | Punt | Punt 42 yds, touchback | 26.7% (40% conv) | 23.5% | 27.6% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| NEB | Q4 | 4:29 | 7-3 | NEB 22 | 78 | 8 | Punt | Punt 59 yds | 70.5% (32% conv) | — | 74.6% | Right call | 0.0 |
Two-point tries
No two-point tries in this game.
Clock management · final 2:00 of each half
End of 1st half
Score at 2:00 WASH 0–7 NEB; at the end WASH 3–7 NEB. Snaps: WASH 9, NEB 6.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEB | 1:53 | 1 | Punt |
| WASH | 1:47 | 9 | Field Goal |
| NEB | 0:36 | 5 | End of Half |
End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)
Score at 2:00 WASH 3–7 NEB; at the end WASH 17–10 NEB. Snaps: WASH 6, NEB 9.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| WASH | 2:00 | 5 | Touchdown |
| NEB | 1:25 | 2 | Touchdown |
| NEB | 1:00 | 7 | Field Goal |
| WASH | 0:22 | 1 | Other |
Replay reviews & challenges
| Qtr | Clock | Review |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 | 4:47 | Review: overturned |
From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.
Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →
