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Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Sat, Oct 31, 5:30 PM CT

APP @ GASO

Week 9 reports › FBS

App State3
FINAL
19GA Southern
Final3–19APP at GASO
B1G+A pregame67%GASO win chance at kickoff
4th-down decisions1515 graded · 15 matched the higher-WP option
Plays tracked136from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final
Q2Q3Q4GASO 4th down Q1 10:28: puntedAPP 4th down Q1 6:29: puntedGASO 4th down Q1 0:55: went for itGASO 4th down Q2 14:04: kicked the field goalAPP 4th down Q2 13:17: puntedGASO 4th down Q2 7:52: went for itAPP 4th down Q2 4:54: kicked the field goalGASO 4th down Q2 1:57: puntedAPP 4th down Q2 0:33: went for itGASO 4th down Q3 8:18: kicked the field goalAPP 4th down Q3 6:21: puntedGASO 4th down Q4 13:56: kicked the field goalAPP 4th down Q4 12:10: puntedGASO 4th down Q4 7:17: went for itGASO 4th down Q4 4:53: kicked the field goalGASO 100.0%APP 0.0%
▲ GASO win chance▼ APP

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

15 4th downs · 15 graded · 15 matched · 4 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

TeamQtrClockScore (off-def)Field positionYds to goalTo goCallResultGo WPFG WPPunt WPVerdictCall vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
GASOQ110:280-0APP 474711PuntPunt 42 yds63.2% (27% conv)60.0%65.3%Right call0.0
APPQ16:290-0GASO 383814PuntPunt 38 yds, touchback32.4% (23% conv)33.3%33.6%Toss-up (within 1 pt)0.0
GASOQ10:550-0APP 661GoConverted (1 yds)78.0% (69% conv)71.3%—Right call0.0
GASOQ214:040-0APP 777FGFG good69.0% (26% conv)70.9%—Right call0.0
APPQ213:170-3APP 26749PuntPunt 55 yds, returned19.7% (30% conv)—20.3%Toss-up (within 1 pt)0.0
GASOQ27:523-0APP 12121GoConverted (7 yds)83.2% (69% conv)79.6%—Right call0.0
APPQ24:540-10GASO 17175FGFG missed12.7% (40% conv)11.9%—Toss-up (within 1 pt)−0.8
GASOQ21:5710-0GASO 366411PuntPunt 31 yds87.1% (27% conv)—89.2%Right call0.0
APPQ20:330-10GASO 44441GoConverted (2 yds)12.6% (69% conv)8.2%9.3%Right call0.0
GASOQ38:1810-3APP 17178FGFG good86.3% (32% conv)87.9%—Right call0.0
APPQ36:213-13GASO 434316PuntPunt 28 yds9.3% (22% conv)8.7%9.8%Toss-up (within 1 pt)0.0
GASOQ413:5613-3APP 16169FGFG good93.2% (30% conv)94.3%—Right call0.0
APPQ412:103-16APP 307024PuntPunt 49 yds, fair catch2.9% (17% conv)—3.4%Toss-up (within 1 pt)0.0
GASOQ47:1716-3APP 34347GoTurnover on downs97.7% (34% conv)97.9%—Toss-up (within 1 pt)−0.3
GASOQ44:5316-3APP 30307FGFG good97.1% (34% conv)98.1%—Toss-up (within 1 pt)0.0

Two-point tries

No two-point tries in this game.

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 APP 0–10 GASO; at the end APP 3–10 GASO. Snaps: APP 11, GASO 1.

OffenseFirst snap in windowSnaps in windowDrive result
GASO1:571Punt
APP1:3711Field Goal

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 APP 3–19 GASO; at the end APP 3–19 GASO. Snaps: APP 0, GASO 4.

OffenseFirst snap in windowSnaps in windowDrive result
GASO1:534End of Game

Replay reviews & challenges

No replay reviews or coach's challenges are recorded in the public play-by-play feeds for this game.

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →

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