Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM CT
ARMY @ MEM
Army22
MemphisB1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME
FinalRed racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.
4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS
10 4th downs · 10 graded · 9 matched · 1 goEvery 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.
| Team | Qtr | Clock | Score (off-def) | Field position | Yds to goal | To go | Call | Result | Go WP | FG WP | Punt WP | Verdict | Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARMY | Q1 | 11:48 | 0-0 | ARMY 39 | 61 | 6 | Punt | Punt 61 yds, touchback | 27.2% (37% conv) | — | 26.6% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.7 |
| ARMY | Q2 | 10:44 | 7-14 | MEM 49 | 49 | 5 | Punt | Punt 44 yds, fair catch | 14.0% (40% conv) | — | 12.9% | Higher-WP option: Go | −1.1 |
| ARMY | Q2 | 2:52 | 14-21 | MEM 48 | 48 | 14 | Punt | Punt 34 yds, fair catch | 13.0% (23% conv) | 10.8% | 13.6% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| MEM | Q3 | 13:52 | 28-14 | MEM 45 | 55 | 6 | Punt | Punt 52 yds, out of bounds | 94.3% (37% conv) | — | 95.0% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| ARMY | Q3 | 9:47 | 14-28 | ARMY 19 | 81 | 5 | Punt | Punt 31 yds, out of bounds | 3.4% (40% conv) | — | 3.3% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.1 |
| MEM | Q3 | 2:19 | 35-22 | MEM 45 | 55 | 5 | Punt | Punt 41 yds, fair catch | 94.0% (40% conv) | — | 94.9% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| ARMY | Q3 | 0:02 | 22-35 | ARMY 27 | 73 | 11 | Punt | Punt 51 yds | 3.2% (27% conv) | — | 3.4% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| MEM | Q4 | 13:04 | 35-22 | MEM 25 | 75 | 7 | Punt | Punt 53 yds | 92.9% (34% conv) | — | 94.6% | Right call | 0.0 |
| ARMY | Q4 | 10:57 | 22-35 | ARMY 18 | 82 | 14 | Punt | Punt 74 yds | 2.2% (23% conv) | — | 2.6% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| ARMY | Q4 | 0:02 | 22-49 | MEM 29 | 29 | 1 | Go | Converted (11 yds) | 0.0% (69% conv) | 0.0% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
3 4th-down snaps wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.
Two-point tries
| Team | Qtr | Clock | Play | Score after (team-opp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARMY | Q3 | 4:46 | Pass, Good | 22-35 |
Clock management · final 2:00 of each half
End of 1st half
Score at 2:00 ARMY 14–21 MEM; at the end ARMY 14–28 MEM. Snaps: ARMY 4, MEM 10.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 1:55 | 10 | Touchdown |
| ARMY | 0:28 | 4 | End of Half |
End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)
Score at 2:00 ARMY 22–42 MEM; at the end ARMY 22–49 MEM. Snaps: ARMY 7, MEM 2.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 1:54 | 2 | Touchdown |
| ARMY | 1:28 | 7 | Interception |
Replay reviews & challenges
No replay reviews or coach's challenges are recorded in the public play-by-play feeds for this game.
From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.
Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →