Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CT

BC @ DUKE

Week 9 reports › FBS

Boston College2

FINAL

Duke

Final2–47BC at DUKE

B1G+A pregame78%DUKE win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions1616 graded · 16 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked135from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ DUKE win chance▼ BC

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

16 4th downs · 16 graded · 16 matched · 6 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
DUKE	Q1	13:46	0-0	DUKE 31	69	4	Punt	Punt 39 yds	75.2% (44% conv)	—	75.3%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
BC	Q1	12:11	0-0	BC 49	51	7	Punt	Punt 51 yds, touchback	20.4% (34% conv)	—	19.7%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.7
BC	Q1	5:29	0-7	BC 9	91	26	Punt	Punt 44 yds, returned	5.4% (16% conv)	—	6.2%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
BC	Q1	0:05	2-13	DUKE 12	12	2	Go	Turnover on downs	8.6% (57% conv)	6.7%	—	Right call	0.0
DUKE	Q2	13:28	13-2	DUKE 13	87	8	Punt	Punt 47 yds, fair catch	91.2% (32% conv)	—	92.6%	Right call	0.0
BC	Q2	10:01	2-13	BC 49	51	19	Punt	Punt 32 yds	4.8% (20% conv)	—	5.1%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
BC	Q2	6:19	2-20	BC 26	74	3	Punt	Punt 41 yds, out of bounds	1.5% (50% conv)	—	1.3%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.2
BC	Q2	1:03	2-27	BC 33	67	14	Punt	Punt 42 yds, fair catch	0.6% (23% conv)	—	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.1
DUKE	Q2	0:01	27-2	DUKE 10	90	30	Go	Turnover on downs	98.9% (15% conv)	—	99.2%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.3
BC	Q3	14:05	2-27	BC 30	70	5	Punt	Punt 47 yds, returned	0.6% (40% conv)	—	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.1
BC	Q3	2:36	2-41	BC 35	65	9	Go	Turnover on downs	0.5% (30% conv)	—	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
DUKE	Q4	12:02	41-2	BC 24	24	15	FG	FG good	99.5% (23% conv)	99.5%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
BC	Q4	9:10	2-44	DUKE 39	39	8	Go	Turnover on downs	0.5% (32% conv)	0.5%	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
DUKE	Q4	5:19	44-2	BC 34	34	1	Go	Converted (26 yds)	99.5% (69% conv)	99.5%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
DUKE	Q4	2:58	44-2	BC 7	7	7	FG	FG good	99.5% (26% conv)	99.5%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
BC	Q4	1:12	2-47	DUKE 29	29	12	Go	Turnover on downs	0.5% (26% conv)	0.5%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0

2 4th-down snaps wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.

Two-point tries

Team	Qtr	Clock	Play	Score after (team-opp)
—	Q1	7:33	Blocked PAT, defensive return, 2 pts	—
BC	Q1	3:39	Defensive return, 2 pts	2-13

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 BC 2–27 DUKE; at the end BC 2–27 DUKE. Snaps: BC 5, DUKE 4.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
BC	1:56	5	Punt
DUKE	0:56	4	Downs

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 BC 2–47 DUKE; at the end BC 2–47 DUKE. Snaps: BC 6, DUKE 2.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
BC	1:54	6	Downs
DUKE	1:05	2	End of Game

Replay reviews & challenges

Qtr	Clock	Review
Q3	10:12	Review: upheld

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →