Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CT

BGSU @ WMU

Week 9 reports › FBS

Bowling Green10

FINAL

W Michigan

Final10–23BGSU at WMU

B1G+A pregame86%WMU win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions1717 graded · 13 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked136from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ WMU win chance▼ BGSU

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

17 4th downs · 17 graded · 13 matched · 1 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
WMU	Q1	13:27	0-0	WMU 26	74	3	Punt	Punt 43 yds, fair catch	83.4% (50% conv)	—	83.2%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.2
WMU	Q1	5:03	0-7	WMU 29	71	3	Punt	Punt 46 yds, fair catch	56.0% (50% conv)	—	54.5%	Higher-WP option: Go	−1.6
BGSU	Q1	3:23	7-0	BGSU 25	75	10	Punt	Punt 57 yds	32.9% (28% conv)	—	34.7%	Right call	0.0
BGSU	Q1	1:31	7-7	BGSU 25	75	3	Punt	Punt 48 yds, fair catch	16.4% (50% conv)	—	14.8%	Higher-WP option: Go	−1.7
WMU	Q2	14:46	7-7	WMU 42	58	8	Punt	Punt 43 yds, fair catch	76.5% (32% conv)	—	78.3%	Right call	0.0
BGSU	Q2	10:04	7-7	BGSU 21	79	15	Punt	Punt 49 yds, returned	15.6% (23% conv)	—	17.1%	Right call	0.0
BGSU	Q2	4:56	7-14	BGSU 34	66	3	Punt	Punt 29 yds, out of bounds	8.2% (50% conv)	—	7.1%	Higher-WP option: Go	−1.1
BGSU	Q2	3:08	7-14	WMU 38	38	6	Punt	Punt 29 yds	10.1% (37% conv)	9.3%	9.3%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.8
WMU	Q2	1:04	14-7	WMU 25	75	17	Punt	Punt 56 yds	84.4% (21% conv)	—	87.6%	Right call	0.0
BGSU	Q3	13:21	10-14	BGSU 40	60	6	Punt	Punt 38 yds, out of bounds	14.7% (37% conv)	—	14.3%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.4
WMU	Q3	9:11	14-10	BGSU 14	14	10	FG	FG good	85.2% (28% conv)	86.8%	—	Right call	0.0
BGSU	Q3	2:50	10-17	WMU 14	14	5	FG	FG missed	18.4% (40% conv)	16.7%	—	Higher-WP option: Go	−1.7
WMU	Q4	13:27	17-10	BGSU 32	32	3	FG	FG good	89.5% (50% conv)	89.2%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.3
BGSU	Q4	11:43	10-20	BGSU 24	76	8	Punt	Punt 45 yds	4.7% (32% conv)	—	5.0%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
WMU	Q4	3:09	20-10	WMU 23	77	7	Punt	Punt 69 yds	99.5% (34% conv)	—	99.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
BGSU	Q4	1:58	10-20	BGSU 7	93	11	Go	Intercepted	0.5% (27% conv)	—	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
WMU	Q4	0:15	20-10	BGSU 28	28	16	FG	FG good	99.5% (22% conv)	99.5%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0

2 4th-down snaps wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.

Two-point tries

No two-point tries in this game.

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 BGSU 7–14 WMU; at the end BGSU 10–14 WMU. Snaps: BGSU 7, WMU 4.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
WMU	1:46	4	Punt
BGSU	0:56	7	Field Goal

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 BGSU 10–20 WMU; at the end BGSU 10–23 WMU. Snaps: BGSU 3, WMU 5.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
BGSU	1:58	2	Interception
WMU	1:52	4	Field Goal
BGSU	0:12	1	Interception
WMU	0:09	1	End of Half

Replay reviews & challenges

Qtr	Clock	Review
Q3	11:24	Review: overturned

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →