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Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Sat, Oct 31, 1:00 PM CT

CCU @ GAST

Week 9 reports › FBS

Coastal31
FINAL
20Georgia St
Final31–20CCU at GAST
B1G+A pregame66%GAST win chance at kickoff
4th-down decisions1717 graded · 15 matched the higher-WP option
Plays tracked151from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final
Q2Q3Q4CCU 4th down Q1 11:28: went for itCCU 4th down Q1 9:05: kicked the field goalGAST 4th down Q1 3:28: went for itGAST 4th down Q1 2:12: kicked the field goalCCU 4th down Q2 14:05: puntedGAST 4th down Q2 12:58: puntedCCU 4th down Q2 11:34: went for itGAST 4th down Q2 9:22: puntedCCU 4th down Q2 7:08: kicked the field goalGAST 4th down Q2 5:46: kicked the field goalGAST 4th down Q2 0:00: kicked the field goalGAST 4th down Q3 12:21: puntedGAST 4th down Q3 9:33: puntedGAST 4th down Q3 3:08: puntedCCU 4th down Q4 5:15: puntedGAST 4th down Q4 3:12: went for itCCU 4th down Q4 1:05: puntedGAST 0.0%CCU 100.0%
▲ GAST win chance▼ CCU

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

17 4th downs · 17 graded · 15 matched · 4 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

TeamQtrClockScore (off-def)Field positionYds to goalTo goCallResultGo WPFG WPPunt WPVerdictCall vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
CCUQ111:280-0GAST 39391GoConverted (3 yds)40.8% (69% conv)33.0%33.6%Right call0.0
CCUQ19:050-0GAST 252517FGFG missed35.7% (21% conv)38.7%—Right call0.0
GASTQ13:280-0CCU 35353GoConverted (19 yds)66.9% (50% conv)64.5%64.7%Right call0.0
GASTQ12:120-0CCU 14148FGFG good68.2% (32% conv)69.5%—Right call0.0
CCUQ214:050-3CCU 297112PuntPunt 48 yds, returned20.5% (26% conv)—21.8%Right call0.0
GASTQ212:583-0GAST 16846PuntPunt 14 yds, out of bounds64.3% (37% conv)—66.5%Right call0.0
CCUQ211:340-3GAST 21211GoConverted (1 yds)37.4% (69% conv)31.7%—Right call0.0
GASTQ29:223-7GAST 168419PuntPunt 45 yds, fair catch31.8% (20% conv)—35.9%Right call0.0
CCUQ27:087-3GAST 35354FGFG good59.3% (44% conv)57.7%58.0%Higher-WP option: Go−1.6
GASTQ25:463-10CCU 14147FGFG missed37.6% (34% conv)37.2%—Toss-up (within 1 pt)−0.4
GASTQ20:003-17CCU 14149FGFG good13.8% (30% conv)13.0%—Toss-up (within 1 pt)−0.9
GASTQ312:216-17CCU 49499PuntPunt 35 yds, fair catch14.3% (30% conv)—14.3%Toss-up (within 1 pt)0.0
GASTQ39:336-17CCU 464615PuntPunt 26 yds, fair catch13.0% (23% conv)11.3%13.8%Toss-up (within 1 pt)0.0
GASTQ33:086-24GAST 168414PuntPunt 54 yds, returned1.8% (23% conv)—2.1%Toss-up (within 1 pt)0.0
CCUQ45:1531-20CCU 148621PuntPunt 34 yds, fair catch85.9% (18% conv)—90.0%Right call0.0
GASTQ43:1220-31CCU 454518GoTurnover on downs3.6% (20% conv)1.5%5.0%Higher-WP option: Punt−1.4
CCUQ41:0531-20GAST 43439PuntPunt 28 yds, fair catch99.5% (30% conv)99.5%99.5%Toss-up (within 1 pt)0.0

2 4th-down snaps wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.

Two-point tries

TeamQtrClockPlayScore after (team-opp)
GASTQ411:59Pass, Good14-31
GASTQ47:38Pass, No good20-31

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 CCU 10–3 GAST; at the end CCU 17–6 GAST. Snaps: CCU 1, GAST 11.

OffenseFirst snap in windowSnaps in windowDrive result
CCU1:511Touchdown
GAST1:4011Field Goal

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 CCU 31–20 GAST; at the end CCU 31–20 GAST. Snaps: CCU 2, GAST 7.

OffenseFirst snap in windowSnaps in windowDrive result
CCU1:502Punt
GAST1:017End of Game

Replay reviews & challenges

QtrClockReview
Q19:31Review: overturned
Q312:28Review: overturned
Q37:55Review: upheld
Q49:12Review: overturned

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →

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