Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Sat, Oct 31, 6:00 PM CT

CLEM @ FSU

Week 9 reports › FBS

Clemson36

FINAL

Florida St

Final36–24CLEM at FSU

B1G+A pregame66%FSU win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions1919 graded · 19 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked154from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ FSU win chance▼ CLEM

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

19 4th downs · 19 graded · 19 matched · 3 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
FSU	Q1	13:30	0-0	FSU 11	89	7	Punt	Punt 37 yds, returned	55.4% (34% conv)	—	57.5%	Right call	0.0
CLEM	Q1	12:15	0-0	FSU 48	48	11	Punt	Punt 39 yds, fair catch	31.6% (27% conv)	27.6%	32.4%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
FSU	Q1	10:47	0-0	FSU 11	89	8	Punt	Punt 19 yds	54.1% (32% conv)	—	56.7%	Right call	0.0
FSU	Q1	9:21	0-7	FSU 25	75	10	Punt	Punt 34 yds, fair catch	29.5% (28% conv)	—	30.9%	Right call	0.0
CLEM	Q1	7:48	7-0	CLEM 36	64	15	Punt	Punt 38 yds, returned	55.5% (23% conv)	—	59.1%	Right call	0.0
CLEM	Q1	2:01	7-7	FSU 17	17	16	FG	FG good	40.5% (22% conv)	42.9%	—	Right call	0.0
FSU	Q2	12:54	7-10	CLEM 17	17	8	FG	FG good	54.3% (32% conv)	55.9%	—	Right call	0.0
CLEM	Q2	8:23	10-10	FSU 27	27	2	Go	Converted (4 yds)	47.1% (57% conv)	43.6%	—	Right call	0.0
CLEM	Q2	7:21	10-10	FSU 17	17	4	FG	FG good	47.1% (44% conv)	46.3%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.9
CLEM	Q2	1:53	13-10	FSU 9	9	1	Go	Converted (4 yds)	70.0% (69% conv)	63.0%	—	Right call	0.0
CLEM	Q2	0:00	20-10	FSU 32	32	3	FG	FG good	83.8% (50% conv)	83.1%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.7
CLEM	Q3	11:34	23-10	CLEM 49	51	6	Punt	Punt 51 yds, touchback	87.8% (37% conv)	—	89.1%	Right call	0.0
FSU	Q3	9:42	10-23	FSU 14	86	16	Punt	Punt 39 yds, returned	6.1% (22% conv)	—	6.9%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
CLEM	Q3	8:00	23-10	FSU 28	28	9	FG	FG good	90.9% (30% conv)	92.1%	—	Right call	0.0
FSU	Q3	4:15	10-26	CLEM 26	26	3	Go	Fumble lost	7.0% (50% conv)	6.1%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
CLEM	Q3	2:36	26-10	CLEM 8	92	18	Punt	Punt 53 yds	90.5% (20% conv)	—	93.5%	Right call	0.0
FSU	Q4	14:53	10-26	FSU 37	63	28	Punt	Punt 30 yds	2.7% (15% conv)	—	3.1%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
CLEM	Q4	11:04	26-10	FSU 31	31	8	FG	FG good	97.3% (32% conv)	97.7%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
CLEM	Q4	6:29	29-18	CLEM 34	66	1	Punt	Punt 35 yds, out of bounds	93.5% (69% conv)	—	93.7%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0

Two-point tries

Team	Qtr	Clock	Play	Score after (team-opp)
FSU	Q4	8:52	Pass, Good	18-29
FSU	Q4	5:30	Pass, No good	24-29

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 CLEM 13–10 FSU; at the end CLEM 23–10 FSU. Snaps: CLEM 7, FSU 3.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
CLEM	1:53	3	Touchdown
FSU	1:24	3	Interception
CLEM	0:47	4	Field Goal

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 CLEM 36–24 FSU; at the end CLEM 36–24 FSU. Snaps: CLEM 3, FSU 6.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
FSU	1:54	6	Interception
CLEM	0:59	3	End of Game

Replay reviews & challenges

Qtr	Clock	Review
Q2	2:25	Review: overturned
Q4	11:43	Review: upheld

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →