Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Sat, Oct 31, 2:30 PM CT

CSU @ USU

Week 9 reports › FBS

Colorado St14

FINAL

Utah State

Final14–31CSU at USU

B1G+A pregame72%USU win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions1111 graded · 11 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked127from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ USU win chance▼ CSU

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

11 4th downs · 11 graded · 11 matched · 3 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
CSU	Q1	8:04	0-7	USU 38	38	11	Punt	Punt 38 yds, touchback	11.9% (27% conv)	11.8%	11.7%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.2
USU	Q1	0:48	7-0	CSU 7	7	3	FG	FG good	91.2% (50% conv)	90.3%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−1.0
CSU	Q2	14:51	0-10	CSU 30	70	15	Punt	Punt 48 yds, returned	6.1% (23% conv)	—	6.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
CSU	Q2	8:24	0-17	CSU 44	56	3	Punt	Punt 56 yds, touchback	2.8% (50% conv)	—	2.3%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.5
USU	Q2	2:09	17-0	CSU 23	23	7	FG	FG missed	97.6% (34% conv)	97.9%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
CSU	Q2	1:13	0-17	CSU 40	60	10	Punt	Punt 38 yds, out of bounds	2.2% (28% conv)	—	2.2%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
USU	Q2	0:13	17-0	USU 43	57	2	Punt	Punt 47 yds	97.3% (57% conv)	—	97.2%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.1
CSU	Q3	11:54	0-17	USU 30	30	1	Go	Converted (1 yds)	4.1% (69% conv)	3.1%	—	Right call	0.0
CSU	Q3	9:59	0-17	USU 22	22	3	Go	Fumble lost	3.9% (50% conv)	3.4%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
USU	Q4	13:54	24-6	USU 39	61	3	Punt	Punt 38 yds, fair catch	98.0% (50% conv)	—	98.2%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
CSU	Q4	12:03	6-24	USU 45	45	6	Go	Converted (22 yds)	1.6% (37% conv)	1.2%	1.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0

Two-point tries

Team	Qtr	Clock	Play	Score after (team-opp)
CSU	Q3	0:48	Pass, No good	6-24
CSU	Q4	2:31	Pass, Good	14-31

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 CSU 0–17 USU; at the end CSU 0–17 USU. Snaps: CSU 6, USU 4.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
CSU	1:57	5	Punt
USU	1:05	4	Punt
CSU	0:09	1	End of Half

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 CSU 14–31 USU; at the end CSU 14–31 USU. Snaps: CSU 0, USU 3.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
USU	1:50	3	End of Half

Replay reviews & challenges

No replay reviews or coach's challenges are recorded in the public play-by-play feeds for this game.

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →