Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Thu, Oct 29, 6:30 PM CT
FAU @ UNT
FAU41
North TexasB1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME
FinalRed racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.
4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS
14 4th downs · 14 graded · 14 matched · 6 goEvery 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.
| Team | Qtr | Clock | Score (off-def) | Field position | Yds to goal | To go | Call | Result | Go WP | FG WP | Punt WP | Verdict | Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FAU | Q1 | 13:52 | 0-0 | FAU 26 | 74 | 9 | Punt | Punt 47 yds | 10.2% (30% conv) | — | 10.2% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| UNT | Q1 | 9:39 | 0-0 | FAU 6 | 6 | 6 | FG | FG good | 87.5% (28% conv) | 88.4% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| UNT | Q1 | 4:37 | 3-7 | FAU 49 | 49 | 4 | Punt | Punt 39 yds, out of bounds | 70.4% (44% conv) | — | 69.9% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.5 |
| FAU | Q1 | 1:43 | 7-3 | FAU 47 | 53 | 2 | Go | Converted (26 yds) | 32.7% (57% conv) | — | 28.5% | Right call | 0.0 |
| FAU | Q1 | 0:15 | 7-3 | UNT 12 | 12 | 10 | FG | FG good | 38.1% (28% conv) | 38.1% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| UNT | Q2 | 4:04 | 10-17 | FAU 17 | 17 | 4 | Go | Converted (8 yds) | 53.8% (44% conv) | 53.3% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| FAU | Q2 | 1:51 | 17-17 | FAU 15 | 85 | 5 | Punt | Punt 44 yds, fair catch | 20.3% (40% conv) | — | 20.3% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| FAU | Q2 | 0:39 | 24-24 | UNT 12 | 12 | 5 | Go | Converted (TD) | 36.6% (40% conv) | 34.5% | — | Right call | 0.0 |
| FAU | Q2 | 0:04 | 24-24 | FAU 37 | 63 | 7 | Go | Turnover on downs | 23.8% (34% conv) | — | 24.2% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.4 |
| UNT | Q3 | 11:39 | 24-24 | FAU 30 | 30 | 8 | FG | FG good | 71.3% (32% conv) | 73.3% | — | Right call | 0.0 |
| FAU | Q3 | 10:17 | 24-27 | FAU 41 | 59 | 2 | Go | Turnover on downs | 20.9% (57% conv) | — | 18.0% | Right call | 0.0 |
| UNT | Q3 | 8:29 | 27-24 | FAU 26 | 26 | 2 | Go | Turnover on downs | 83.8% (57% conv) | 82.7% | — | Right call | 0.0 |
| UNT | Q4 | 9:56 | 41-31 | UNT 28 | 72 | 14 | Punt | Punt 36 yds, fair catch | 88.7% (23% conv) | — | 92.3% | Right call | 0.0 |
| FAU | Q4 | 1:56 | 38-48 | UNT 25 | 25 | 7 | FG | FG good | 0.5% (34% conv) | 0.5% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
2 4th-down snaps wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.
Two-point tries
No two-point tries in this game.
Clock management · final 2:00 of each half
End of 1st half
Score at 2:00 FAU 17–17 UNT; at the end FAU 24–24 UNT. Snaps: FAU 16, UNT 4.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAU | 1:57 | 2 | Punt |
| UNT | 1:40 | 1 | Touchdown |
| FAU | 1:34 | 10 | Touchdown |
| UNT | 0:33 | 3 | Fumble |
| FAU | 0:11 | 4 | End of Half |
End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)
Score at 2:00 FAU 38–48 UNT; at the end FAU 41–48 UNT. Snaps: FAU 1, UNT 5.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAU | 1:56 | 1 | Field Goal |
| UNT | 1:50 | 5 | End of Game |
Replay reviews & challenges
| Qtr | Clock | Review |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 4:52 | Review: overturned |
| Q2 | 0:52 | Review: overturned |
| Q2 | 0:05 | Review: overturned |
| Q3 | 8:04 | Review: upheld |
From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.
Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →
