Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Sat, Oct 31, 2:30 PM CT
FIU @ LIB
FIU10
LibertyB1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME
FinalRed racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.
4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS
10 4th downs · 10 graded · 9 matched · 1 goEvery 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.
| Team | Qtr | Clock | Score (off-def) | Field position | Yds to goal | To go | Call | Result | Go WP | FG WP | Punt WP | Verdict | Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIU | Q1 | 12:31 | 0-0 | FIU 17 | 83 | 1 | Punt | Punt 32 yds, fair catch | 13.0% (69% conv) | — | 10.2% | Higher-WP option: Go | −2.8 |
| FIU | Q1 | 7:35 | 0-7 | LIB 29 | 29 | 3 | FG | FG blocked | 7.1% (50% conv) | 6.2% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.9 |
| FIU | Q1 | 4:07 | 0-7 | FIU 44 | 56 | 6 | Punt | Punt 37 yds, fair catch | 5.6% (37% conv) | — | 5.2% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.4 |
| FIU | Q2 | 8:21 | 0-14 | FIU 22 | 78 | 23 | Punt | Punt 46 yds, returned | 1.6% (17% conv) | — | 1.7% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| FIU | Q3 | 7:27 | 0-35 | FIU 29 | 71 | 23 | Punt | Punt 19 yds, out of bounds | 0.5% (17% conv) | — | 0.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| FIU | Q4 | 13:57 | 0-42 | LIB 21 | 21 | 11 | FG | FG good | 0.5% (27% conv) | 0.5% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| LIB | Q4 | 12:30 | 42-3 | LIB 28 | 72 | 7 | Punt | Punt 40 yds, fair catch | 99.5% (34% conv) | — | 99.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| FIU | Q4 | 9:08 | 3-42 | LIB 48 | 48 | 5 | Go | Turnover on downs | 0.5% (40% conv) | 0.5% | 0.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| LIB | Q4 | 1:39 | 49-10 | LIB 46 | 54 | 5 | Punt | Punt 27 yds | 99.5% (40% conv) | — | 99.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| FIU | Q4 | 0:57 | 10-49 | FIU 40 | 60 | 9 | Punt | Punt 38 yds, returned | 0.5% (30% conv) | — | 0.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
Two-point tries
No two-point tries in this game.
Clock management · final 2:00 of each half
End of 1st half
Score at 2:00 FIU 0–21 LIB; at the end FIU 0–28 LIB. Snaps: FIU 2, LIB 4.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 1:50 | 4 | Touchdown |
| FIU | 0:31 | 2 | End of Half |
End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)
Score at 2:00 FIU 10–49 LIB; at the end FIU 10–49 LIB. Snaps: FIU 5, LIB 4.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 1:59 | 2 | Punt |
| FIU | 1:32 | 5 | Punt |
| LIB | 0:44 | 2 | End of Game |
Replay reviews & challenges
No replay reviews or coach's challenges are recorded in the public play-by-play feeds for this game.
From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.
Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →