Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Wed, Oct 28, 6:00 PM CT

KENN @ MTSU

Week 9 reports › FBS

Kennesaw St44

FINAL

MTSU

Final44–28KENN at MTSU

B1G+A pregame45%MTSU win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions1616 graded · 13 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked151from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ MTSU win chance▼ KENN

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

16 4th downs · 16 graded · 13 matched · 3 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
KENN	Q1	5:31	7-7	KENN 35	65	11	Punt	Punt 41 yds, fair catch	47.1% (27% conv)	—	49.6%	Right call	0.0
MTSU	Q2	5:53	14-13	MTSU 34	66	11	Punt	Punt 46 yds, returned	43.3% (27% conv)	—	46.3%	Right call	0.0
MTSU	Q2	1:40	14-19	50	50	7	Punt	Punt 38 yds, out of bounds	25.4% (34% conv)	—	25.2%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.1
KENN	Q2	0:55	19-14	KENN 42	58	1	Punt	Punt 37 yds, fair catch	74.6% (69% conv)	—	70.7%	Higher-WP option: Go	−4.0
MTSU	Q3	9:47	17-27	MTSU 30	70	19	Punt	Punt 54 yds	8.8% (20% conv)	—	9.8%	Right call	0.0
KENN	Q3	8:05	27-17	KENN 25	75	1	Punt	Punt 55 yds, returned	86.4% (69% conv)	—	85.0%	Higher-WP option: Go	−1.5
MTSU	Q3	6:45	17-27	MTSU 25	75	10	Punt	Punt 55 yds, out of bounds	8.5% (28% conv)	—	9.1%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
MTSU	Q3	4:20	17-27	KENN 20	20	4	FG	FG good	16.1% (44% conv)	14.9%	—	Higher-WP option: Go	−1.2
MTSU	Q3	1:58	20-27	KENN 27	27	13	FG	FG missed	20.6% (24% conv)	22.6%	—	Right call	0.0
KENN	Q3	0:23	27-20	KENN 34	66	3	Punt	Punt 45 yds	78.4% (50% conv)	—	79.8%	Right call	0.0
MTSU	Q4	13:13	20-27	MTSU 36	64	6	Punt	Punt 43 yds	14.9% (37% conv)	—	15.2%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
MTSU	Q4	8:38	20-34	KENN 45	45	6	Go	Turnover on downs	3.7% (37% conv)	2.7%	3.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
KENN	Q4	6:54	34-20	KENN 41	59	9	Punt	Punt 34 yds, fair catch	95.5% (30% conv)	—	97.0%	Right call	0.0
MTSU	Q4	4:14	20-41	MTSU 33	67	2	Go	Turnover on downs	0.5% (57% conv)	—	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
KENN	Q4	1:55	41-20	MTSU 26	26	3	FG	FG good	99.5% (50% conv)	99.5%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
KENN	Q4	0:45	44-28	KENN 35	65	15	Go	Turnover on downs	99.5% (23% conv)	—	99.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0

Two-point tries

Team	Qtr	Clock	Play	Score after (team-opp)
KENN	Q2	9:31	Rush, No good	13-14
MTSU	Q3	12:32	Pass, Good	17-27
KENN	Q4	1:42	Rush, Good	44-28

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 KENN 19–14 MTSU; at the end KENN 19–17 MTSU. Snaps: KENN 5, MTSU 14.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
MTSU	1:55	3	Punt
KENN	1:32	5	Punt
MTSU	0:50	11	Field Goal

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 KENN 41–20 MTSU; at the end KENN 44–28 MTSU. Snaps: KENN 5, MTSU 0.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
KENN	1:55	1	Field Goal
KENN	1:32	4	End of Game

Replay reviews & challenges

Qtr	Clock	Review
Q2	1:06	Review: overturned
Q4	11:50	Review: upheld
Q4	6:34	Review: upheld

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →