Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Fri, Oct 30, 9:30 PM CT
KENT @ SAC
Kent State10
Sacramento StB1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME
FinalRed racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.
4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS
17 4th downs · 17 graded · 14 matched · 3 goEvery 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.
| Team | Qtr | Clock | Score (off-def) | Field position | Yds to goal | To go | Call | Result | Go WP | FG WP | Punt WP | Verdict | Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KENT | Q1 | 12:42 | 0-0 | SAC 15 | 15 | 1 | Go | Turnover on downs | 69.9% (69% conv) | 65.1% | — | Right call | 0.0 |
| SAC | Q1 | 8:16 | 0-0 | SAC 39 | 61 | 8 | Punt | Punt 55 yds | 36.6% (32% conv) | — | 37.3% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| SAC | Q1 | 5:53 | 0-7 | SAC 30 | 70 | 5 | Punt | Punt 40 yds, fair catch | 15.8% (40% conv) | — | 14.9% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.9 |
| KENT | Q1 | 4:49 | 7-0 | KENT 32 | 68 | 8 | Punt | Punt 41 yds, fair catch | 76.3% (32% conv) | — | 78.3% | Right call | 0.0 |
| SAC | Q2 | 12:58 | 0-7 | KENT 24 | 24 | 6 | FG | FG good | 22.0% (37% conv) | 21.9% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.1 |
| KENT | Q2 | 11:50 | 7-3 | KENT 27 | 73 | 8 | Punt | Punt 40 yds, fair catch | 64.4% (32% conv) | — | 67.1% | Right call | 0.0 |
| SAC | Q2 | 5:28 | 3-7 | KENT 10 | 10 | 8 | FG | FG good | 36.5% (32% conv) | 35.2% | — | Higher-WP option: Go | −1.3 |
| SAC | Q2 | 2:25 | 6-7 | KENT 42 | 42 | 6 | Punt | Punt 42 yds, touchback | 41.2% (37% conv) | 38.0% | 40.9% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.2 |
| KENT | Q2 | 1:01 | 7-6 | SAC 39 | 39 | 4 | Go | Converted (19 yds) | 61.3% (44% conv) | 58.6% | 60.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| KENT | Q3 | 10:43 | 10-6 | KENT 47 | 53 | 3 | Punt | Punt 42 yds, returned | 70.6% (50% conv) | — | 70.3% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.4 |
| SAC | Q3 | 4:35 | 6-10 | KENT 18 | 18 | 4 | FG | FG good | 37.1% (44% conv) | 36.0% | — | Higher-WP option: Go | −1.2 |
| KENT | Q3 | 3:06 | 10-9 | KENT 16 | 84 | 15 | Punt | Punt 38 yds, returned | 42.2% (23% conv) | — | 48.9% | Right call | 0.0 |
| KENT | Q3 | 0:20 | 10-17 | 50 | 50 | 4 | Punt | Punt 32 yds, fair catch | 20.5% (44% conv) | — | 19.3% | Higher-WP option: Go | −1.2 |
| SAC | Q4 | 12:07 | 17-10 | KENT 47 | 47 | 6 | Punt | Punt 37 yds, fair catch | 80.3% (37% conv) | 76.5% | 83.2% | Right call | 0.0 |
| SAC | Q4 | 6:22 | 24-10 | KENT 48 | 48 | 14 | Punt | Punt 48 yds, touchback | 97.5% (23% conv) | 97.2% | 98.4% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| SAC | Q4 | 3:42 | 24-10 | SAC 46 | 54 | 7 | Punt | Punt 50 yds | 99.4% (34% conv) | — | 99.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| KENT | Q4 | 2:59 | 10-24 | KENT 5 | 95 | 9 | Go | Turnover on downs | 0.5% (30% conv) | — | 0.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
1 4th-down snap wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.
Two-point tries
| Team | Qtr | Clock | Play | Score after (team-opp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | Q3 | 2:58 | Pass, Good | 17-10 |
Clock management · final 2:00 of each half
End of 1st half
Score at 2:00 KENT 7–6 SAC; at the end KENT 10–6 SAC. Snaps: KENT 9, SAC 0.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENT | 1:54 | 9 | Field Goal |
End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)
Score at 2:00 KENT 10–31 SAC; at the end KENT 10–31 SAC. Snaps: KENT 1, SAC 3.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| KENT | 1:55 | 1 | Touchdown |
| SAC | 1:41 | 3 | Interception |
Replay reviews & challenges
| Qtr | Clock | Review |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 | 4:40 | Review: overturned |
| Q4 | 1:55 | Review: upheld |
From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.
Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →
