Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Sat, Oct 31, 1:00 PM CT

KSU @ COLO

Week 9 reports › FBS

Kansas St24

FINAL

Colorado

Final24–27KSU at COLO

B1G+A pregame42%COLO win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions1616 graded · 13 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked148from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ COLO win chance▼ KSU

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

16 4th downs · 16 graded · 13 matched · 0 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
KSU	Q1	13:08	0-0	KSU 34	66	1	Punt	Punt 56 yds, returned	59.2% (69% conv)	—	53.3%	Higher-WP option: Go	−5.9
COLO	Q1	11:46	0-0	COLO 24	76	3	Punt	Punt 51 yds, returned	37.4% (50% conv)	—	35.2%	Higher-WP option: Go	−2.2
KSU	Q1	9:30	0-0	KSU 22	78	5	Punt	Punt 58 yds, returned	50.3% (40% conv)	—	50.7%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
COLO	Q1	6:32	0-0	COLO 45	55	2	Punt	Punt 49 yds, fair catch	43.8% (57% conv)	—	39.5%	Higher-WP option: Go	−4.3
KSU	Q1	4:32	0-0	KSU 8	92	8	Punt	Punt 53 yds, returned	44.8% (32% conv)	—	47.3%	Right call	0.0
KSU	Q2	13:40	0-7	COLO 31	31	5	FG	FG missed	31.3% (40% conv)	30.5%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.8
COLO	Q2	0:53	7-7	COLO 33	67	17	Punt	Punt 44 yds, fair catch	36.9% (21% conv)	—	41.0%	Right call	0.0
COLO	Q3	11:46	7-7	KSU 47	47	18	Punt	Punt 34 yds, out of bounds	41.6% (20% conv)	38.8%	45.6%	Right call	0.0
KSU	Q3	8:48	7-7	KSU 26	74	18	Punt	Punt 55 yds, out of bounds	41.1% (20% conv)	—	46.8%	Right call	0.0
COLO	Q3	8:00	7-7	COLO 20	80	15	Punt	Punt 58 yds, muffed, receiving team kept it	33.9% (23% conv)	—	38.8%	Right call	0.0
KSU	Q3	6:08	7-7	KSU 20	80	3	Punt	Punt 51 yds, fair catch	45.2% (50% conv)	—	45.0%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.2
KSU	Q4	6:52	14-21	COLO 25	25	9	FG	FG missed	20.0% (30% conv)	21.6%	—	Right call	0.0
COLO	Q4	4:18	21-14	COLO 24	76	11	Punt	Punt 46 yds, out of bounds	77.3% (27% conv)	—	78.6%	Right call	0.0
KSU	Q4	2:51	14-21	KSU 47	53	21	Punt	Punt 49 yds	6.8% (18% conv)	—	12.8%	Right call	0.0
COLO	Q4	0:55	21-14	COLO 23	77	5	Punt	Punt 46 yds, returned	87.9% (40% conv)	—	91.1%	Right call	0.0
KSU	OT	0:00	21-21	COLO 7	7	4	FG	FG good	54.7% (44% conv)	58.5%	—	Right call	0.0

3 4th-down snaps wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.

Two-point tries

No two-point tries in this game.

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 KSU 7–7 COLO; at the end KSU 7–7 COLO. Snaps: KSU 4, COLO 6.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
COLO	2:00	6	Punt
KSU	0:48	4	End of Half

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 KSU 14–21 COLO; at the end KSU 21–21 COLO. Snaps: KSU 6, COLO 6.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
COLO	1:59	5	Punt
KSU	0:46	6	Touchdown
COLO	0:01	1	End of Half

Replay reviews & challenges

Qtr	Clock	Review
Q3	2:14	Review: upheld

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →