Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Sat, Oct 31, 2:00 PM CT

LT @ USA

Week 9 reports › FBS

Louisiana Tech35

FINAL

South Alabama

Final35–20LT at USA

B1G+A pregame36%USA win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions1414 graded · 13 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked139from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ USA win chance▼ LT

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

14 4th downs · 14 graded · 13 matched · 5 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
LT	Q1	12:54	0-0	LT 11	89	17	Punt	Punt 52 yds, returned	50.7% (21% conv)	—	55.3%	Right call	0.0
USA	Q2	10:27	14-14	LT 47	47	2	Go	Turnover on downs	43.7% (57% conv)	33.8%	39.3%	Right call	0.0
USA	Q2	0:53	20-28	LT 39	39	1	Go	Converted (1 yds)	19.7% (69% conv)	14.6%	14.9%	Right call	0.0
USA	Q2	0:01	20-28	USA 49	51	23	Punt	Punt 40 yds, fair catch	12.7% (17% conv)	—	13.9%	Right call	0.0
USA	Q3	10:47	20-28	50	50	21	Punt	Punt 39 yds, fair catch	12.6% (18% conv)	—	13.8%	Right call	0.0
LT	Q3	8:48	28-20	LT 20	80	1	Punt	Punt 17 yds, out of bounds	83.0% (69% conv)	—	81.3%	Higher-WP option: Go	−1.7
USA	Q3	7:11	20-28	LT 43	43	16	Punt	Punt 34 yds, fair catch	13.7% (22% conv)	13.0%	14.6%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
LT	Q3	4:46	28-20	LT 10	90	9	Punt	Punt 42 yds, fair catch	75.2% (30% conv)	—	80.0%	Right call	0.0
USA	Q3	2:46	20-28	LT 31	31	2	Go	Turnover on downs	19.7% (57% conv)	16.7%	—	Right call	0.0
LT	Q3	1:29	28-20	LT 39	61	2	Punt	Punt 54 yds, fair catch	84.8% (57% conv)	—	84.8%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
USA	Q4	12:30	20-35	USA 43	57	8	Punt	Punt 42 yds, fair catch	2.7% (32% conv)	—	2.8%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
LT	Q4	9:11	35-20	LT 29	71	6	Punt	Punt 47 yds, fair catch	95.9% (37% conv)	—	97.1%	Right call	0.0
USA	Q4	6:39	20-35	LT 31	31	7	Go	Turnover on downs	2.7% (34% conv)	2.6%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
LT	Q4	2:39	35-20	USA 29	29	5	Go	Turnover on downs	99.5% (40% conv)	99.5%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0

3 4th-down snaps wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.

Two-point tries

No two-point tries in this game.

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 LT 28–20 USA; at the end LT 28–20 USA. Snaps: LT 1, USA 9.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
USA	1:55	9	Punt
LT	0:02	1	End of Half

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 LT 35–20 USA; at the end LT 35–20 USA. Snaps: LT 3, USA 3.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
USA	2:00	3	Interception
LT	1:29	3	End of Game

Replay reviews & challenges

Qtr	Clock	Review
Q1	12:28	Review: overturned

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →