Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM CT

MRSH @ ODU

Week 9 reports › FBS

Marshall36

FINAL

Old Dominion

Final36–23MRSH at ODU

B1G+A pregame58%ODU win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions2020 graded · 18 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked165from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ ODU win chance▼ MRSH

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

20 4th downs · 20 graded · 18 matched · 2 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
ODU	Q1	11:12	0-7	ODU 37	63	14	Punt	Punt 38 yds	25.0% (23% conv)	—	26.5%	Right call	0.0
MRSH	Q1	7:36	7-0	MRSH 42	58	14	Punt	Punt 49 yds, returned	64.2% (23% conv)	—	67.4%	Right call	0.0
ODU	Q1	6:58	0-7	ODU 4	96	13	Punt	Punt 45 yds, fair catch	19.5% (24% conv)	—	21.4%	Right call	0.0
MRSH	Q1	1:27	14-7	ODU 16	16	6	FG	FG good	75.5% (37% conv)	76.6%	—	Right call	0.0
ODU	Q1	0:09	7-17	ODU 29	71	6	Punt	Punt 46 yds, fair catch	15.9% (37% conv)	—	15.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.4
MRSH	Q2	14:41	17-7	MRSH 26	74	9	Punt	Punt 46 yds, returned	74.1% (30% conv)	—	76.8%	Right call	0.0
ODU	Q2	10:53	7-17	MRSH 3	3	3	FG	FG good	26.7% (40% conv)	23.6%	—	Higher-WP option: Go	−3.1
MRSH	Q2	9:45	17-10	MRSH 19	81	16	Punt	Punt 49 yds	61.0% (22% conv)	—	66.0%	Right call	0.0
ODU	Q2	5:40	10-17	MRSH 38	38	6	Punt	Punt 28 yds, out of bounds	27.6% (37% conv)	26.2%	26.5%	Higher-WP option: Go	−1.1
MRSH	Q2	1:13	17-10	ODU 12	12	12	FG	FG good	77.3% (19% conv)	80.6%	—	Right call	0.0
MRSH	Q3	11:28	27-17	MRSH 10	90	2	Punt	Punt 40 yds, returned	79.1% (57% conv)	—	79.2%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
MRSH	Q3	9:44	27-17	MRSH 9	91	21	Punt	Punt 52 yds, returned	73.6% (18% conv)	—	79.6%	Right call	0.0
MRSH	Q3	7:15	27-17	ODU 16	16	16	FG	FG good	87.1% (16% conv)	89.8%	—	Right call	0.0
ODU	Q3	4:07	17-30	MRSH 47	47	19	Punt	Punt 47 yds, touchback	6.8% (20% conv)	5.7%	7.4%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
MRSH	Q4	12:34	30-17	ODU 12	12	11	FG	FG good	95.7% (27% conv)	96.4%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
ODU	Q4	10:30	17-33	MRSH 32	32	8	Go	Turnover on downs	3.3% (32% conv)	3.3%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
MRSH	Q4	8:12	33-17	MRSH 40	60	8	Punt	Punt 40 yds, fair catch	97.0% (32% conv)	—	98.0%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
MRSH	Q4	5:52	33-17	ODU 6	6	4	FG	FG good	99.2% (44% conv)	99.2%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
MRSH	Q4	2:24	36-23	ODU 48	48	26	Punt	Punt 29 yds, out of bounds	99.5% (16% conv)	99.5%	99.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
ODU	Q4	0:57	23-36	50	50	27	Go	Turnover on downs	0.5% (16% conv)	—	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0

1 4th-down snap wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.

Two-point tries

Team	Qtr	Clock	Play	Score after (team-opp)
ODU	Q4	3:54	Pass, No good	23-36

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 MRSH 17–10 ODU; at the end MRSH 27–10 ODU. Snaps: MRSH 3, ODU 7.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
MRSH	1:51	3	Field Goal
MRSH	1:02	7	Touchdown

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 MRSH 36–23 ODU; at the end MRSH 36–23 ODU. Snaps: MRSH 2, ODU 5.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
ODU	1:53	5	Downs
MRSH	0:48	2	End of Game

Replay reviews & challenges

Qtr	Clock	Review
Q1	14:34	Review: upheld
Q1	1:44	Review: overturned

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →