Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Sat, Oct 31, 9:30 PM CT
NIU @ UNLV
N Illinois24
UNLVB1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME
FinalRed racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.
4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS
12 4th downs · 12 graded · 11 matched · 2 goEvery 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.
| Team | Qtr | Clock | Score (off-def) | Field position | Yds to goal | To go | Call | Result | Go WP | FG WP | Punt WP | Verdict | Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | Q1 | 4:34 | 7-7 | NIU 3 | 3 | 3 | FG | FG good | 92.4% (40% conv) | 92.3% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.1 |
| NIU | Q2 | 10:15 | 14-10 | UNLV 9 | 9 | 9 | FG | FG good | 30.1% (22% conv) | 31.5% | — | Right call | 0.0 |
| NIU | Q2 | 2:51 | 17-17 | UNLV 29 | 29 | 9 | FG | FG missed | 20.8% (30% conv) | 21.6% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| NIU | Q3 | 12:38 | 17-24 | UNLV 47 | 47 | 10 | Punt | Punt 36 yds, fair catch | 7.2% (28% conv) | 5.7% | 7.2% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| UNLV | Q3 | 7:19 | 31-24 | UNLV 23 | 77 | 18 | Punt | Punt 54 yds, returned | 85.1% (20% conv) | — | 88.7% | Right call | 0.0 |
| NIU | Q3 | 5:45 | 24-31 | NIU 41 | 59 | 10 | Punt | Punt 52 yds, fair catch | 7.8% (28% conv) | — | 8.1% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| UNLV | Q3 | 3:52 | 31-24 | UNLV 31 | 69 | 4 | Go | Converted (7 yds) | 87.1% (44% conv) | — | 88.5% | Higher-WP option: Punt | −1.4 |
| NIU | Q4 | 14:49 | 24-31 | UNLV 43 | 43 | 1 | Go | Converted (24 yds) | 14.7% (69% conv) | 9.6% | 11.1% | Right call | 0.0 |
| UNLV | Q4 | 10:53 | 31-24 | NIU 42 | 42 | 15 | Punt | Punt 41 yds | 87.0% (23% conv) | 87.4% | 90.3% | Right call | 0.0 |
| NIU | Q4 | 8:30 | 24-31 | NIU 24 | 76 | 6 | Punt | Punt 39 yds, returned | 7.8% (37% conv) | — | 8.4% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| UNLV | Q4 | 6:30 | 31-24 | UNLV 19 | 81 | 18 | Punt | Punt 60 yds, returned | 77.2% (20% conv) | — | 85.6% | Right call | 0.0 |
| NIU | Q4 | 2:06 | 24-31 | UNLV 36 | 36 | 19 | FG | FG missed | 6.3% (20% conv) | 8.6% | 8.9% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.3 |
2 4th-down snaps wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.
Two-point tries
No two-point tries in this game.
Clock management · final 2:00 of each half
End of 1st half
Score at 2:00 NIU 17–17 UNLV; at the end NIU 17–24 UNLV. Snaps: NIU 1, UNLV 9.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 1:55 | 9 | Touchdown |
| NIU | 0:17 | 1 | End of Half |
End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)
Score at 2:00 NIU 24–31 UNLV; at the end NIU 24–31 UNLV. Snaps: NIU 0, UNLV 7.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 2:00 | 7 | End of Half |
Replay reviews & challenges
No replay reviews or coach's challenges are recorded in the public play-by-play feeds for this game.
From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.
Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →