Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Tue, Oct 27, 7:00 PM CT

SHSU @ MOST

Week 9 reports › FBS

Sam Houston3

FINAL

Missouri St

Final3–24SHSU at MOST

B1G+A pregame70%MOST win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions1515 graded · 15 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked128from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ MOST win chance▼ SHSU

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

15 4th downs · 15 graded · 15 matched · 3 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
MOST	Q1	11:08	0-0	SHSU 33	33	14	FG	FG missed	68.3% (23% conv)	70.8%	—	Right call	0.0
SHSU	Q1	8:50	0-0	SHSU 33	67	10	Punt	Punt 44 yds, fair catch	25.7% (28% conv)	—	26.6%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
SHSU	Q1	0:31	0-7	MOST 15	15	8	FG	FG good	17.7% (32% conv)	17.1%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.6
MOST	Q2	10:53	7-3	SHSU 17	17	5	FG	FG good	81.6% (40% conv)	82.4%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
SHSU	Q2	6:32	3-10	MOST 31	31	3	Go	Turnover on downs	18.5% (50% conv)	16.6%	—	Right call	0.0
MOST	Q2	4:58	10-3	MOST 29	71	12	Punt	Punt 37 yds, fair catch	78.7% (26% conv)	—	82.0%	Right call	0.0
SHSU	Q2	1:49	3-10	SHSU 45	55	15	Punt	Punt 55 yds, touchback	13.0% (23% conv)	—	13.8%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
MOST	Q2	1:22	10-3	MOST 26	74	4	Punt	Punt 44 yds, returned	80.0% (44% conv)	—	81.2%	Right call	0.0
SHSU	Q3	13:40	3-10	SHSU 21	79	10	Punt	Punt 70 yds	10.8% (28% conv)	—	11.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
MOST	Q3	9:38	10-3	MOST 41	59	8	Punt	Punt 43 yds, returned	80.4% (32% conv)	—	83.0%	Right call	0.0
SHSU	Q3	4:26	3-10	SHSU 47	53	11	Punt	Punt 53 yds, touchback	13.9% (27% conv)	—	14.7%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
MOST	Q4	14:52	10-3	SHSU 37	37	2	Go	Converted (TD)	87.1% (57% conv)	85.1%	86.7%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
SHSU	Q4	9:35	3-17	MOST 44	44	5	Punt	Punt 29 yds, out of bounds	3.6% (40% conv)	2.7%	3.3%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.3
MOST	Q4	6:58	17-3	MOST 38	62	2	Punt	Punt 45 yds, returned	97.0% (57% conv)	—	97.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
SHSU	Q4	1:08	3-24	MOST 8	8	5	Go	Turnover on downs	0.5% (40% conv)	0.5%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0

1 4th-down snap wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.

Two-point tries

No two-point tries in this game.

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 SHSU 3–10 MOST; at the end SHSU 3–10 MOST. Snaps: SHSU 8, MOST 6.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
SHSU	1:49	1	Punt
MOST	1:45	4	Punt
SHSU	1:18	7	Missed FG
MOST	0:01	2	End of Half

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 SHSU 3–24 MOST; at the end SHSU 3–24 MOST. Snaps: SHSU 3, MOST 2.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
SHSU	1:52	3	Downs
MOST	1:00	2	End of Game

Replay reviews & challenges

No replay reviews or coach's challenges are recorded in the public play-by-play feeds for this game.

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →