Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Sat, Oct 31, 2:00 PM CT
TEM @ ECU
Temple9
East CarolinaB1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME
FinalRed racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.
4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS
14 4th downs · 14 graded · 11 matched · 4 goEvery 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.
| Team | Qtr | Clock | Score (off-def) | Field position | Yds to goal | To go | Call | Result | Go WP | FG WP | Punt WP | Verdict | Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEM | Q1 | 12:03 | 0-0 | TEM 43 | 57 | 7 | Punt | Punt 40 yds, fair catch | 27.6% (34% conv) | — | 27.3% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.4 |
| ECU | Q1 | 10:55 | 0-0 | ECU 16 | 84 | 2 | Punt | Punt 55 yds, out of bounds | 64.2% (57% conv) | — | 62.0% | Higher-WP option: Go | −2.2 |
| TEM | Q1 | 7:24 | 0-0 | ECU 23 | 23 | 10 | FG | FG missed | 33.9% (28% conv) | 35.8% | — | Right call | 0.0 |
| ECU | Q1 | 3:52 | 0-0 | TEM 20 | 20 | 1 | Go | Converted (1 yds) | 75.8% (69% conv) | 72.0% | — | Right call | 0.0 |
| TEM | Q2 | 14:21 | 0-7 | TEM 34 | 66 | 3 | Punt | Punt 41 yds, fair catch | 13.0% (50% conv) | — | 11.4% | Higher-WP option: Go | −1.6 |
| ECU | Q2 | 9:21 | 7-0 | TEM 15 | 15 | 5 | Go | Turnover on downs | 88.4% (40% conv) | 88.9% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.5 |
| TEM | Q2 | 2:52 | 0-7 | ECU 23 | 23 | 14 | FG | FG good | 17.1% (23% conv) | 18.3% | — | Right call | 0.0 |
| ECU | Q2 | 0:10 | 7-3 | TEM 2 | 2 | 2 | FG | FG good | 83.9% (47% conv) | 82.2% | — | Higher-WP option: Go | −1.7 |
| TEM | Q3 | 5:08 | 3-17 | ECU 28 | 28 | 15 | FG | FG good | 5.3% (23% conv) | 5.8% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| ECU | Q3 | 2:13 | 17-6 | TEM 41 | 41 | 3 | Go | Turnover on downs | 92.6% (50% conv) | 91.3% | 92.9% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.3 |
| ECU | Q3 | 0:07 | 17-6 | 50 | 50 | 7 | Punt | Punt 41 yds | 90.9% (34% conv) | — | 92.5% | Right call | 0.0 |
| TEM | Q4 | 10:12 | 6-17 | ECU 23 | 23 | 7 | FG | FG good | 10.1% (34% conv) | 10.1% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| ECU | Q4 | 6:52 | 17-9 | ECU 36 | 64 | 6 | Punt | Punt 37 yds, out of bounds | 78.4% (37% conv) | — | 83.6% | Right call | 0.0 |
| ECU | Q4 | 1:54 | 17-9 | TEM 26 | 26 | 1 | Go | Converted (5 yds) | 98.2% (69% conv) | 98.3% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.1 |
2 4th-down snaps wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.
Two-point tries
No two-point tries in this game.
Clock management · final 2:00 of each half
End of 1st half
Score at 2:00 TEM 3–7 ECU; at the end TEM 3–10 ECU. Snaps: TEM 1, ECU 6.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | 1:49 | 6 | Field Goal |
| TEM | 0:06 | 1 | End of Half |
End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)
Score at 2:00 TEM 9–17 ECU; at the end TEM 9–17 ECU. Snaps: TEM 0, ECU 3.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | 1:54 | 3 | End of Game |
Replay reviews & challenges
| Qtr | Clock | Review |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 4:19 | Review: upheld |
| Q1 | 1:53 | Review: upheld |
| Q1 | 1:19 | Review: upheld |
| Q1 | 1:17 | Review: overturned |
| Q3 | 14:00 | Review: upheld |
| Q3 | 11:26 | Review: upheld |
| Q4 | 8:06 | Review: overturned |
From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.
Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →
