Game report · 2026 Week 9 · FBS · Sat, Oct 31, 3:00 PM CT
UNM @ SJSU
New Mexico21
San José StB1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME
FinalRed racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.
4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS
14 4th downs · 14 graded · 11 matched · 5 goEvery 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.
| Team | Qtr | Clock | Score (off-def) | Field position | Yds to goal | To go | Call | Result | Go WP | FG WP | Punt WP | Verdict | Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNM | Q1 | 11:21 | 0-0 | SJSU 38 | 38 | 9 | Go | Turnover on downs | 81.7% (30% conv) | 82.1% | 82.8% | Toss-up | −1.1 |
| SJSU | Q1 | 3:36 | 0-0 | UNM 8 | 8 | 6 | FG | FG good | 28.4% (37% conv) | 25.5% | — | Higher-WP option: Go | −2.9 |
| UNM | Q2 | 12:06 | 0-3 | SJSU 10 | 10 | 1 | Go | Converted (3 yds) | 76.6% (69% conv) | 71.3% | — | Right call | 0.0 |
| UNM | Q2 | 9:39 | 0-3 | SJSU 1 | 1 | 1 | Go | Converted (TD) | 75.6% (60% conv) | 70.4% | — | Right call | 0.0 |
| SJSU | Q2 | 7:41 | 3-7 | SJSU 25 | 75 | 10 | Punt | Punt 40 yds, out of bounds | 11.3% (28% conv) | — | 11.8% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| SJSU | Q2 | 3:27 | 3-14 | SJSU 31 | 69 | 4 | Punt | Punt 35 yds, out of bounds | 4.7% (44% conv) | — | 4.2% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.5 |
| SJSU | Q2 | 1:53 | 3-14 | UNM 7 | 7 | 7 | FG | FG good | 7.6% (26% conv) | 7.2% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.4 |
| SJSU | Q2 | 0:37 | 6-14 | UNM 9 | 9 | 5 | FG | FG good | 14.9% (40% conv) | 12.1% | — | Higher-WP option: Go | −2.8 |
| SJSU | Q3 | 9:41 | 9-14 | UNM 47 | 47 | 17 | Punt | Punt 36 yds, fair catch | 14.7% (21% conv) | 12.8% | 15.9% | Right call | 0.0 |
| SJSU | Q3 | 0:44 | 9-21 | UNM 21 | 21 | 1 | Go | Turnover on downs | 9.5% (69% conv) | 7.1% | — | Right call | 0.0 |
| UNM | Q4 | 9:19 | 21-16 | UNM 29 | 71 | 6 | Punt | Punt 38 yds, fair catch | 71.6% (37% conv) | — | 76.9% | Right call | 0.0 |
| UNM | Q4 | 4:53 | 21-16 | SJSU 34 | 34 | 6 | FG | FG blocked | 86.1% (37% conv) | 87.1% | — | Right call | 0.0 |
| SJSU | Q4 | 1:23 | 16-21 | UNM 37 | 37 | 5 | Go | Turnover on downs | 12.5% (40% conv) | 0.5% | 0.6% | Right call | 0.0 |
| UNM | Q4 | 0:22 | 21-16 | UNM 40 | 60 | 7 | Punt | Punt 33 yds, fair catch | 89.9% (34% conv) | — | 94.5% | Right call | 0.0 |
Two-point tries
No two-point tries in this game.
Clock management · final 2:00 of each half
End of 1st half
Score at 2:00 UNM 14–3 SJSU; at the end UNM 14–9 SJSU. Snaps: UNM 2, SJSU 6.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJSU | 1:56 | 2 | Field Goal |
| UNM | 1:44 | 1 | Interception |
| SJSU | 1:38 | 4 | Field Goal |
| UNM | 0:37 | 1 | End of Half |
End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)
Score at 2:00 UNM 21–16 SJSU; at the end UNM 21–16 SJSU. Snaps: UNM 5, SJSU 4.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJSU | 1:52 | 2 | Downs |
| UNM | 1:18 | 4 | Punt |
| SJSU | 0:16 | 2 | Interception |
| UNM | 0:11 | 1 | End of Game |
Replay reviews & challenges
No replay reviews or coach's challenges are recorded in the public play-by-play feeds for this game.
From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.
Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →