Game report · 2026 Week 9 · Top 25 · Sat, Oct 31, 2:30 PM CT
FLA @ UGA
17 Florida8
3 GeorgiaB1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME
FinalRed racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.
4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS
14 4th downs · 14 graded · 13 matched · 4 goEvery 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.
| Team | Qtr | Clock | Score (off-def) | Field position | Yds to goal | To go | Call | Result | Go WP | FG WP | Punt WP | Verdict | Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UGA | Q1 | 13:22 | 0-0 | UGA 34 | 66 | 1 | Go | Converted (3 yds) | 79.2% (69% conv) | — | 75.5% | Right call | 0.0 |
| UGA | Q1 | 9:04 | 0-0 | FLA 25 | 25 | 2 | FG | FG missed | 81.6% (57% conv) | 80.2% | — | Higher-WP option: Go | −1.4 |
| FLA | Q2 | 14:45 | 0-7 | FLA 25 | 75 | 10 | Punt | Punt 64 yds, returned | 7.5% (28% conv) | — | 7.6% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| UGA | Q2 | 13:03 | 7-0 | FLA 48 | 48 | 9 | Punt | Punt 38 yds, returned | 88.1% (30% conv) | 86.4% | 89.4% | Right call | 0.0 |
| UGA | Q2 | 8:55 | 7-0 | FLA 10 | 10 | 3 | FG | FG good | 92.3% (50% conv) | 91.8% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.5 |
| FLA | Q2 | 6:12 | 0-10 | FLA 36 | 64 | 12 | Punt | Punt 45 yds | 5.6% (26% conv) | — | 5.8% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| FLA | Q3 | 10:35 | 0-24 | FLA 41 | 59 | 9 | Punt | Punt 46 yds, muffed, receiving team kept it | 0.6% (30% conv) | — | 0.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.1 |
| UGA | Q3 | 8:56 | 24-0 | UGA 5 | 95 | 16 | Punt | Punt 62 yds, returned | 98.7% (22% conv) | — | 99.1% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| UGA | Q3 | 3:24 | 24-0 | UGA 20 | 80 | 10 | Punt | Punt 47 yds, fair catch | 99.1% (28% conv) | — | 99.3% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| FLA | Q3 | 1:17 | 0-24 | FLA 39 | 61 | 4 | Punt | Punt 50 yds | 0.6% (44% conv) | — | 0.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | −0.1 |
| FLA | Q4 | 8:54 | 0-24 | UGA 33 | 33 | 9 | Go | Converted (23 yds) | 0.5% (30% conv) | 0.5% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| UGA | Q4 | 3:34 | 24-8 | FLA 4 | 4 | 1 | FG | FG good | 99.5% (69% conv) | 99.5% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| FLA | Q4 | 2:39 | 8-27 | FLA 34 | 66 | 1 | Go | Turnover on downs | 0.5% (69% conv) | — | 0.5% | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
| UGA | Q4 | 0:16 | 27-8 | FLA 22 | 22 | 1 | Go | Turnover on downs | 99.5% (69% conv) | 99.5% | — | Toss-up (within 1 pt) | 0.0 |
3 4th-down snaps wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.
Two-point tries
| Team | Qtr | Clock | Play | Score after (team-opp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | Q4 | 6:59 | Pass, Good | 8-24 |
Clock management · final 2:00 of each half
End of 1st half
Score at 2:00 FLA 0–10 UGA; at the end FLA 0–24 UGA. Snaps: FLA 8, UGA 1.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| UGA | 1:55 | 1 | Touchdown |
| FLA | 1:46 | 6 | Touchdown |
| FLA | 0:17 | 2 | End of Half |
End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)
Score at 2:00 FLA 8–27 UGA; at the end FLA 8–27 UGA. Snaps: FLA 1, UGA 3.
| Offense | First snap in window | Snaps in window | Drive result |
|---|---|---|---|
| UGA | 1:52 | 3 | Downs |
| FLA | 0:02 | 1 | End of Half |
Replay reviews & challenges
| Qtr | Clock | Review |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 | 5:51 | Review: overturned |
| Q4 | 3:41 | Review: overturned |
From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.
Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →
