Game report · 2026 Week 9 · Top 25 · Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CT

SMU @ SYR

Week 9 reports › Top 25

19 SMU27

FINAL

Syracuse

Final27–30SMU at SYR

B1G+A pregame32%SYR win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions1717 graded · 17 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked151from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ SYR win chance▼ SMU

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

17 4th downs · 17 graded · 17 matched · 4 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
SMU	Q1	13:11	0-0	SMU 38	62	7	Punt	Punt 44 yds, out of bounds	63.7% (34% conv)	—	65.0%	Right call	0.0
SYR	Q1	10:32	0-0	SMU 31	31	1	Go	Converted (5 yds)	40.4% (69% conv)	34.2%	—	Right call	0.0
SMU	Q1	6:10	0-7	SYR 23	23	23	FG	FG good	37.9% (12% conv)	43.4%	—	Right call	0.0
SYR	Q1	4:52	7-3	SYR 29	71	6	Punt	Punt 53 yds, returned	43.2% (37% conv)	—	43.8%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
SYR	Q2	9:08	7-10	SMU 11	11	11	FG	FG good	30.1% (20% conv)	32.3%	—	Right call	0.0
SYR	Q2	6:35	10-10	SMU 7	7	7	FG	FG good	44.8% (26% conv)	46.0%	—	Right call	0.0
SMU	Q2	3:19	10-13	SMU 27	73	16	Punt	Punt 47 yds, out of bounds	37.4% (22% conv)	—	41.5%	Right call	0.0
SYR	Q2	1:02	13-10	SMU 16	16	1	Go	Converted (7 yds)	66.0% (69% conv)	60.6%	—	Right call	0.0
SYR	Q2	0:22	20-10	SMU 1	1	1	Go	Converted (TD)	88.1% (60% conv)	85.3%	—	Right call	0.0
SYR	Q3	13:22	20-10	SYR 32	68	4	Punt	Punt 53 yds, out of bounds	76.9% (44% conv)	—	78.1%	Right call	0.0
SYR	Q3	6:13	20-17	SYR 38	62	9	Punt	Punt 53 yds	50.2% (30% conv)	—	54.0%	Right call	0.0
SMU	Q3	2:22	17-20	SMU 49	51	6	Punt	Punt 43 yds, fair catch	39.4% (37% conv)	—	40.5%	Right call	0.0
SYR	Q3	0:24	20-17	SYR 16	84	2	Punt	Punt 52 yds, returned	51.3% (57% conv)	—	50.6%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.7
SMU	Q4	13:21	17-20	SMU 49	51	8	Punt	Punt 43 yds, fair catch	36.3% (32% conv)	—	38.9%	Right call	0.0
SYR	Q4	5:26	20-27	SMU 8	8	8	FG	FG good	20.6% (24% conv)	19.6%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−1.0
SMU	Q4	3:36	33-23	SMU 19	81	16	Punt	Punt 49 yds	88.5% (22% conv)	—	90.7%	Right call	0.0
SYR	Q4	1:11	23-33	SMU 39	39	1	Go	Converted (7 yds)	0.5% (69% conv)	0.5%	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0

Two-point tries

Team	Qtr	Clock	Play	Score after (team-opp)
SMU	Q4	9:04	Pass, Good	27-20

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 SMU 10–13 SYR; at the end SMU 10–20 SYR. Snaps: SMU 4, SYR 7.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
SYR	1:54	7	Touchdown
SMU	0:14	4	End of Half

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 SMU 33–23 SYR; at the end SMU 27–30 SYR. Snaps: SMU 3, SYR 7.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
SYR	1:57	7	Touchdown
SMU	0:09	3	Fumble

Replay reviews & challenges

No replay reviews or coach's challenges are recorded in the public play-by-play feeds for this game.

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →