Game report · 2026 Week 9 · Top 25 · Sat, Oct 31, 2:45 PM CT

UTAH @ CIN

Week 9 reports › Top 25

6 Utah49

FINAL

Cincinnati

Final49–25UTAH at CIN

B1G+A pregame28%CIN win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions1111 graded · 10 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked142from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ CIN win chance▼ UTAH

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

11 4th downs · 11 graded · 10 matched · 4 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
CIN	Q1	12:56	0-0	CIN 30	70	5	Punt	Punt 48 yds, fair catch	24.3% (40% conv)	—	23.3%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−1.0
CIN	Q1	4:01	0-7	UTAH 29	29	4	FG	FG good	14.9% (44% conv)	13.8%	—	Higher-WP option: Go	−1.1
CIN	Q2	10:30	3-21	UTAH 17	17	17	FG	FG missed	2.5% (15% conv)	2.9%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
CIN	Q2	2:58	3-28	UTAH 20	20	9	FG	FG good	0.8% (30% conv)	0.8%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
UTAH	Q3	10:59	42-6	UTAH 45	55	16	Punt	Punt 44 yds, fair catch	99.5% (22% conv)	—	99.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
CIN	Q3	9:49	6-42	CIN 18	82	3	Punt	Punt 41 yds, returned	0.5% (50% conv)	—	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
UTAH	Q3	8:30	42-6	CIN 49	49	1	Go	Turnover on downs	99.5% (69% conv)	—	99.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
CIN	Q3	7:14	6-42	UTAH 48	48	7	Go	Turnover on downs	0.5% (34% conv)	0.5%	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
UTAH	Q3	4:11	42-13	UTAH 16	84	3	Punt	Punt 59 yds, returned	99.5% (50% conv)	—	99.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
CIN	Q4	7:59	25-49	UTAH 44	44	3	Go	Turnover on downs	0.5% (50% conv)	0.5%	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
UTAH	Q4	1:17	49-25	CIN 1	1	1	Go	Turnover on downs	99.5% (60% conv)	99.5%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0

1 4th-down snap wiped out by penalty (no play) left out.

Two-point tries

Team	Qtr	Clock	Play	Score after (team-opp)
CIN	Q3	1:54	Pass, No good	19-42
CIN	Q4	12:16	Pass, No good	25-49

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 UTAH 28–6 CIN; at the end UTAH 42–6 CIN. Snaps: UTAH 5, CIN 8.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
UTAH	1:55	5	Touchdown
CIN	0:53	3	Touchdown
CIN	0:29	5	End of Half

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 UTAH 49–25 CIN; at the end UTAH 49–25 CIN. Snaps: UTAH 3, CIN 4.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
UTAH	1:55	3	Downs
CIN	1:10	4	End of Half

Replay reviews & challenges

Qtr	Clock	Review
Q2	13:43	Review: overturned

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →