Game report · 2026 Week 9 · Top 25 · Sat, Oct 31, 2:45 PM CT

UVA @ WAKE

Week 9 reports › Top 25

Virginia7

FINAL

14 Wake Forest

Final7–51UVA at WAKE

B1G+A pregame83%WAKE win chance at kickoff

4th-down decisions1616 graded · 15 matched the higher-WP option

Plays tracked144from public play-by-play feeds

B1G+A WIN PROBABILITY · WHOLE GAME

Final

▲ WAKE win chance▼ UVA

Red racing arrow: B1G+A Live Tracker (Beta) win probability after every play, whole game. Black dots: every 4th-down decision by the coaches (hover or tap for the call). Open rings: the 5 biggest swing plays. Green number: team favored now. Red number: the other team. Faint dashed line: public-feed win probability, for comparison.

4TH DOWNS & COACHING DECISIONS

16 4th downs · 16 graded · 15 matched · 8 go

Every 4th-down snap for both teams. Win chances (WP) are the offense's B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability for each option at the snap: go (conversion chance × WP if converted, plus WP after a turnover on downs), field goal and punt. Options within 1 WP point are toss-ups. Fakes count as go. Bad snaps (the feed logs a team rush) are not graded. Shaded rows differ from the higher-WP option.

Team	Qtr	Clock	Score (off-def)	Field position	Yds to goal	To go	Call	Result	Go WP	FG WP	Punt WP	Verdict	Call vs higher-WP option (WP pts)
UVA	Q1	13:37	0-0	UVA 32	68	3	Punt	Punt 49 yds, returned	15.5% (50% conv)	—	13.7%	Higher-WP option: Go	−1.9
UVA	Q1	10:50	0-7	UVA 34	66	1	Go	Converted (1 yds)	6.8% (69% conv)	—	5.1%	Right call	0.0
UVA	Q1	7:52	0-7	WAKE 40	40	5	Go	Intercepted	7.4% (40% conv)	6.4%	6.6%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
WAKE	Q1	2:30	7-0	UVA 27	27	10	FG	FG good	92.5% (28% conv)	93.4%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
UVA	Q1	0:17	0-10	UVA 40	60	11	Punt	Punt 41 yds	4.2% (27% conv)	—	4.2%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
UVA	Q2	6:43	0-17	WAKE 23	23	3	Go	Converted (8 yds)	2.5% (50% conv)	2.1%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
UVA	Q2	4:45	0-17	WAKE 6	6	1	Go	Turnover on downs	4.0% (69% conv)	2.4%	—	Right call	0.0
WAKE	Q2	0:10	17-0	UVA 7	7	2	FG	FG good	98.9% (57% conv)	98.7%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.2
WAKE	Q3	9:59	20-0	UVA 26	26	9	FG	FG good	99.0% (30% conv)	99.1%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
UVA	Q3	7:50	0-23	UVA 18	82	17	Punt	Punt 60 yds, returned	0.6% (21% conv)	—	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	−0.1
UVA	Q3	5:14	0-30	UVA 49	51	2	Go	Turnover on downs	0.5% (57% conv)	—	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
UVA	Q3	3:31	0-37	UVA 40	60	5	Punt	Punt 42 yds, fair catch	0.5% (40% conv)	—	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
WAKE	Q4	11:23	44-7	UVA 43	43	1	Go	Converted (4 yds)	99.5% (69% conv)	99.5%	99.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
UVA	Q4	5:52	7-51	WAKE 5	5	5	Go	Turnover on downs	0.5% (31% conv)	0.5%	—	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
WAKE	Q4	1:48	51-7	WAKE 16	84	9	Punt	Punt 56 yds	99.5% (30% conv)	—	99.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0
UVA	Q4	0:24	7-51	WAKE 45	45	1	Go	Converted (3 yds)	0.5% (69% conv)	0.5%	0.5%	Toss-up (within 1 pt)	0.0

Two-point tries

No two-point tries in this game.

Clock management · final 2:00 of each half

End of 1st half

Score at 2:00 UVA 0–17 WAKE; at the end UVA 0–20 WAKE. Snaps: UVA 1, WAKE 9.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
WAKE	1:53	9	Field Goal
UVA	0:09	1	End of Half

End of game (last 2:00 of regulation)

Score at 2:00 UVA 7–51 WAKE; at the end UVA 7–51 WAKE. Snaps: UVA 9, WAKE 1.

Offense	First snap in window	Snaps in window	Drive result
WAKE	1:48	1	Punt
UVA	1:39	9	End of Game

Replay reviews & challenges

Qtr	Clock	Review
Q1	10:50	Review: upheld

From public play-by-play feeds and the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Penalty-negated snaps are left out.

Built from public play-by-play feeds replayed through the B1G+A Model 2.2 win probability. Every number here is B1G+A. Report data (JSON) · Full box score →